Exelon Corporation
Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Electric Utilities
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Through 2029, Exelon plans to fund a revised $41.7 billion capital plan.
- Funding breakdown: approximately $21.8 billion from internally generated cash flow, $13.1 billion of utility-level debt, $3.4 billion of holding company debt.
- Equity funding is expected to be about $3.4 billion, representing approximately 40% of the incremental capital plan from last year and less than 2% of Exelon's annual market cap.
- As of early 2026, about 43% ($2.3 billion) of planned long-term debt financing has been completed, with successful execution of all expected debt issuances.
- Approximately 37% of equity needs have been secured, including $850 million for 2026 and over $400 million for 2027, using forward contracts under the ATM program.
- Exelon remains focused on maintaining financial flexibility and strong credit metrics, targeting approximately 14% credit ratings at Moody’s and S&P.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Revised 4-year capital plan targets $41.7 billion total investments through 2029.
- Approximately $10 billion planned for deployment in 2026.
- $1.1 billion project deferrals and reductions in PECO and BGE distribution.
- $1.5 billion incremental transmission investments to support project realignment and data center interconnections.
- Transmission rate base expected to grow at 16% through 2029.
- Transmission organization led by Carim Khouzami pursuing competitive transmission bids and partnerships to build contracted generation.
- Committed to disciplined capital execution focused on cost control and efficiency with $350 million of cost savings targeted in 2026-2027.
- Balancing capital deployment with customer affordability and system reliability.
- Regulatory filings ongoing, including Pepco Maryland base rate case supporting infrastructure investments.
These investments support reliability, growth, and economic development across Exelon's diversified portfolio.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Exelon expects adjusted operating earnings growth near the top end of the 5% to 7% range starting in 2026.
- The revised 4-year capital plan totals $41.7 billion through 2029, with an emphasis on disciplined execution and advancing economic and energy priorities.
- Rate base growth is projected at 7.9% annually over the next 4 years, driven largely by accelerating transmission investments.
- Transmission rate base is anticipated to grow 16% through 2029, responding to reliability needs and large load interconnections.
- Earnings guidance for 2026 is $2.81 to $2.91 per share, aiming for midpoint or better.
- Exelon plans to deploy approximately $10 billion of capital in 2026, supporting long-term economic growth and customer benefits.
- They maintain a focus on cost management to keep expense growth below inflation and target no more than 2% adjusted O&M growth through 2029.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Exelon expects adjusted operating earnings growth near the top end of the 5% to 7% range beginning in 2026.
- For 2026, Exelon projects operating earnings of $2.81 to $2.91 per share, with a goal of achieving midpoint or better.
- First quarter 2026 adjusted operating earnings were $0.91 per share, slightly exceeding expectations.
- Second quarter earnings are expected to be approximately 15% of the full-year earnings guidance midpoint.
- Exelon targets a consolidated 9% to 10% ROE in 2026.
- The company aims to maintain stable financial flexibility and strong credit metrics, targeting approximately 14% equity ratio over the planning period through 2029.
- Long-term, Exelon plans capital investments of $41.7 billion over 4 years, supporting growth and operational performance.
- The company remains committed to disciplined execution amid evolving market dynamics to sustain growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Exelon's revised 4-year capital plan includes $41.7 billion of investment, reflecting a rebalance with $1.1 billion of project deferrals and reductions in PECO and BGE distribution, and $1.5 billion of incremental transmission investment.
- Annualized rate base growth is maintained at 7.9% over the next 4 years.
- Transmission rate base is expected to grow at 16% through 2029, driven by reliability requirements and large load interconnections.
- The company continues pursuing competitive transmission bids, including in MISO.
- There are $12 billion to $17 billion of growth opportunities outside the planning period, primarily in transmission and generation.
- Over 800 generation projects, totaling 20 gigawatts, have applied for interconnection in PJM, though only 19% currently reach operation.
- Exelon is actively managing its portfolio to pivot as needed based on market and regulatory conditions.
