Moderna, Inc. Q2 FY26 Results — Earnings Call Analysis

Published 29 May 2026 | Biotechnology | Market Cap: ₹18.9K Cr

- Moderna expects up to 10% revenue growth in 2026, driven by strategic partnerships and continued growth of mNEXSPIKE. - International and U.S. - Moderna expects total revenue growth of up to 10% in 2026, driven by international strategic partnerships and continued growth of mNEXSPIKE.

From Moderna, Inc.'s Q2 FY26 earnings-call transcript · updated 29 May 2026.

Price

47.57

Market Cap

₹18.9K Cr

Revenue Rank

Rank 4

Margin Rank

Rank 3

How does Moderna, Inc. rank in Biotechnology?

Compare Moderna, Inc. against every Biotechnology company this quarter on revenue, margins and earnings-call signals.

Revenue: Rank 4Margin: Rank 3
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📊 Revenue & Sales Performance

Rank 4
  • Moderna expects up to 10% revenue growth in 2026, driven by strategic partnerships and continued growth of mNEXSPIKE.
  • International and U.S. markets are anticipated to have a roughly 50-50 revenue split.
  • New product approvals in the EU for the flu plus COVID combo vaccine and RSV vaccine are expected to contribute to revenue growth starting in 2027.
  • The flu vaccine mRNA-1010 has a PDUFA date set for August 5, 2026, aiming to support future sales.
  • Commercial launch of the COVID-flu combination vaccine targeted for 2027 with significant growth expected in 2028.
  • The respiratory vaccines market in Europe is valued around $1.8 to $2 billion annually, and Moderna aims to capture a large share.
  • Continued pipeline advancement including oncology and rare diseases is expected to drive long-term growth.

📈 Profitability & Margins

Rank 3
  • Moderna expects total revenue growth of up to 10% in 2026, driven by international strategic partnerships and continued growth of mNEXSPIKE.
  • Revenue guidance assumes no contribution from flu vaccine or certain other pipeline products in 2026.
  • Operating expenses (excluding litigation charge) projected at $4.9 billion GAAP, with cash costs around $4.2 billion.
  • Net loss includes a one-time $0.9 billion litigation charge; excluding this, net loss improved by over 50% versus prior year.
  • The company anticipates a successful commercial launch of new vaccines (flu plus COVID combo) in Europe starting 2027, driving growth in 2027 and 2028.
  • No explicit guidance on EPS provided, but improved revenue and reduced adjusted cash costs indicate operational leveraging.
  • Pipeline advances and new product approvals (e.g., norovirus, Intismeran, propionic acidemia) expected to contribute to longer-term profitability.

🏗️ Capital Expenditure Plans

Yes
  • Moderna projects capital expenditures (capex) between $0.2 billion and $0.3 billion for 2026.
  • The company continues to invest in its pipeline while maintaining financial discipline.
  • Strategic investments include expanding the mRNA platform to new drug modalities and families of medicines.
  • They are investing in AI and robotics to accelerate discovery of new technologies and expand mRNA use.
  • The company is focused on geographic expansion and advancement of product pipeline, including new vaccine launches.
  • No material impacts are expected from geopolitical conflicts on the 2026 financial outlook.
  • Moderna maintains a strong balance sheet with $7.5 billion in cash and investments at Q1 2026 end.

💰 Fundraising & Capital Structure

No information
  • Moderna does not anticipate any current or immediate new fundraising through debt or equity.
  • The company ended Q1 2026 with $7.5 billion in cash and investments.
  • Cash guidance for 2026 does not assume any additional drawdown from their remaining $0.9 billion undrawn credit facility.
  • Capital expenditures are projected between $0.2 billion and $0.3 billion for 2026.
  • There is no indication of planned equity raises or debt issuance beyond existing credit facilities mentioned.

📋 Order Book & Pipeline

No information
  • The UK spring campaign delivery occurred in Q1 2026; a second campaign (fall booster) is planned for Q3/Q4 2026, implying a potential double order year in the UK.
  • Germany's campaigns for respiratory vaccines (flu, COVID, RSV) are also underway with continued deliveries anticipated.
  • France is actively engaged in market access and reimbursement processes post-approval of the COVID-flu combination vaccine.
  • Across major European markets, securing market access and pricing discussions are ongoing throughout H2 2026.
  • The respiratory vaccine market in Europe is estimated at about $2 billion, presenting a large opportunity.
  • Sales guidance includes international revenues, with Q2 expected between $50 million-$100 million split evenly between US and international.
  • Moderna expects a successful product launch in 2027, with significant revenue uplift in 2028 as pricing and access processes complete.

Key Metrics

Revenue

Rank 4

Margin

Rank 3

Capex

Yes

Fundraise

No information

Order Book

No information

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Frequently Asked Questions

What were Moderna, Inc. Q2 FY26 results?

- Moderna expects up to 10% revenue growth in 2026, driven by strategic partnerships and continued growth of mNEXSPIKE. - International and U.S. - Moderna expects total revenue growth of up to 10% in 2026, driven by international strategic partnerships and continued growth of mNEXSPIKE.

What is Moderna, Inc. share price analysis?

Moderna, Inc. currently shows a neutral. The stock trades at a P/E of -11.2 with a market cap of $18,875. Investors should review the full earnings analysis for detailed insights.

Is Moderna, Inc. planning capital expenditure?

- Moderna projects capital expenditures (capex) between $0.2 billion and $0.3 billion for 2026.

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This analysis is AI-generated based on publicly available earnings data and concall transcripts. This is not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.