Nebius Group N.V. Q2 FY26 Results — Earnings Call Analysis

Published 29 May 2026 | Software | Market Cap: ₹57.5K Cr

- Sold out in Q1 and for several quarters, with demand significantly exceeding available capacity. - Nebius is experiencing strong revenue growth and margin expansion, with Q1 AI adjusted EBITDA margin nearly doubling to 45%, targeting around 40% margin for the full year 2026.

From Nebius Group N.V.'s Q2 FY26 earnings-call transcript · updated 29 May 2026.

Price

226.34

Market Cap

₹57.5K Cr

P/E Ratio

80.6

Revenue Rank

Rank 1

Margin Rank

Rank 3

How does Nebius Group N.V. rank in Software?

Compare Nebius Group N.V. against every Software company this quarter on revenue, margins and earnings-call signals.

Revenue: Rank 1Margin: Rank 3
View Software leaderboard →

📊 Revenue & Sales Performance

Rank 1
  • Sold out in Q1 and for several quarters, with demand significantly exceeding available capacity.
  • Majority of capacity coming online over next 12 months already under contract or earmarked for AI cloud customers.
  • Pipeline up 3.5x quarter-over-quarter in Q1 for AI cloud business, excluding strategic hyperscaler deals.
  • Strong revenue growth driven by capacity scaling and strong pricing; annualized run rate revenue at $1.9 billion, up over 50% quarter-over-quarter.
  • Raised 2026 CapEx guidance to $20-$25 billion to support expansion reflecting investments in 2027 capacity.
  • Back-end weighted capacity additions planned with meaningful ramp-up starting Q3, improving margins and revenue recognition in second half of 2026.
  • Customer diversification broadening with wins across sectors including fintech, healthcare, life sciences, manufacturing, and energy.
  • Expect capacity to unlock growth potential; currently seeing strong pricing and utilization without limitation on growth except capacity constraints.

📈 Profitability & Margins

Rank 3
  • Nebius is experiencing strong revenue growth and margin expansion, with Q1 AI adjusted EBITDA margin nearly doubling to 45%, targeting around 40% margin for the full year 2026.
  • The company anticipates a nonlinear adjusted EBITDA margin progression in 2026 due to back-end weighted capacity deployment and investments, expecting margins to dip slightly in Q2 before returning to Q1 levels in Q3, then improving further in Q4.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance remains for annualized run rate revenue of $7 billion to $9 billion, group revenue between $3 billion and $3.4 billion, and group adjusted EBITDA margin around 40%.
  • Investments in go-to-market, engineering, and acquisitions are front-loaded, supporting longer-term profitable growth.
  • Capacity additions in 2026 are back-end weighted, ramping significantly in Q3 and Q4, setting up growth in 2027 with contracted demand already secured.
  • Strong pipeline growth (3.5x quarter-over-quarter in Q1) and expanding customer base support durable revenue conversion and margin expansion.

🏗️ Capital Expenditure Plans

Yes
  • CapEx guidance for 2026 raised to $20 billion to $25 billion, driven by capacity growth and visibility into 2027 demand.
  • Significant expansion planned for 2027, with more capacity coming online in H2 2026 and key sites like Pennsylvania ramping up through 2030.
  • Over 90% of 2026 CapEx already secured by cash and contractual commitments.
  • Additional financing planned via asset-backed debt financing (leveraging contracts with Microsoft and Meta), corporate-level debt, and an at-the-market equity program.
  • NVIDIA made a $2 billion equity investment and committed to 5 GW capacity by 2030, marking a strategic multi-year partnership.
  • Focus on disciplined capital structure and careful investment in AI infrastructure aligns investments with revenue visibility and strong contracted demand pipeline.
  • Ongoing investments include hiring, acquisitions (Eigen AI, Clarifai), and software/platform development to enhance AI cloud capabilities.

💰 Fundraising & Capital Structure

Yes
  • The company has a strong balance sheet with $9.3 billion cash and cash equivalents at quarter end.
  • They have raised $4.3 billion through a private offering of convertible senior notes in March with attractive coupons.
  • They expect to use asset-backed financing against contracts with Microsoft and Meta to raise capital on attractive terms.
  • Corporate level debt issuance is planned and financing options will be tapped in the near term.
  • An at-the-market equity program of up to 25 million Class A shares exists but has not been utilized yet; it is being regularly evaluated.
  • Financing approach is diversified and will focus on the long-term interests of the business.
  • Customer prepayments have increased, improving working capital and reducing external financing needs.
  • The incremental capacity expansion will be funded through these debt and equity options as needed.

📋 Order Book & Pipeline

Yes
  • The company is sold out again in Q1, with demand significantly exceeding available capacity.
  • Capacity coming online over the next several quarters to 12 months is mostly under contract or earmarked for AI cloud customers.
  • Typically, 4 or more customers compete for every GPU brought online.
  • Strong contracted demand pipeline supports high orderbook confidence.
  • Meta has a $27 billion, 5-year contract split into $12 billion committed capacity starting 2027 and $15 billion additional capacity at company's discretion.
  • The $15 billion additional capacity can be allocated to Meta or sold to AI cloud customers, providing flexibility and financing advantages.
  • Pipeline for AI cloud business is up 3.5x quarter-over-quarter, excluding hyperscaler deals like Meta’s.
  • The company maintains strong win rates and increasing average contract values across diversified customers.
  • Prepayments from customers reached a new quarterly record, improving working capital.

Key Metrics

Revenue

Rank 1

Margin

Rank 3

Capex

Yes

Fundraise

Yes

Order Book

Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What were Nebius Group N.V. Q2 FY26 results?

- Sold out in Q1 and for several quarters, with demand significantly exceeding available capacity. - Nebius is experiencing strong revenue growth and margin expansion, with Q1 AI adjusted EBITDA margin nearly doubling to 45%, targeting around 40% margin for the full year 2026.

What is Nebius Group N.V. share price analysis?

Nebius Group N.V. currently shows a strong growth signal based on ranking data. The stock trades at a P/E of 80.6 with a market cap of $57,467. Investors should review the full earnings analysis for detailed insights.

Is Nebius Group N.V. planning capital expenditure?

- CapEx guidance for 2026 raised to $20 billion to $25 billion, driven by capacity growth and visibility into 2027 demand.

Keep Nebius Group N.V. on your radar — track it to get its next earnings analysis in your feed.

This analysis is AI-generated based on publicly available earnings data and concall transcripts. This is not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.

Others in Software this season

  • Figma, Inc. (Q2 FY26)

    Figma, Inc. Q2 FY26 quarterly results analysis. Q2 2026 revenue guidance: $348M - $350M, implying 40% YoY growth at midpoint. Market Cap $12,396, P/E 65.1. AI-p

  • TeraWulf Inc. (Q2 FY26)

    TeraWulf Inc. Q2 FY26 quarterly results analysis. HPC lease revenue is rapidly growing, increasing 117% from $9.7M in Q4 ’25 to $21M in Q1 ’26, with more data h

  • Tyler Technologies, Inc. (Q2 FY26)

    Tyler Technologies, Inc. Q2 FY26 quarterly results analysis. Revenue guidance for 2026 raised, primarily due to the acquisition of For The Record (FTR), contrib

  • Hut 8 Corp. (Q2 FY26)

    Hut 8 Corp. Q2 FY26 quarterly results analysis. Revenue grew approximately 226% year-over-year to $71 million, driven primarily by the compute segment, with gro