Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd

Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Finance

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company is focused on expanding its branch network with plans to add approximately 70 to 75 branches year-on-year. - Of these, around 50 branches will be smaller sales offices (100-150 sq. ft.) under the "deeper impact strategy" targeting smaller towns and districts. - About 20-25 branches will be larger branch offices in existing cities. - There is ongoing investment in technology and data science to improve underwriting, collections, and customer reach. - The company continues to invest in innovative ideas to enhance efficiency and growth while sustaining profitability and asset quality. - No specific mention of large capex or strategic acquisitions; focus appears to be on organic growth and technology enhancements. - The recent IPO infusion of INR1,000 crores equity is intended to meet future capital requirements and general corporate purposes.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Aadhar Housing Finance expects to grow its incremental disbursement and AUM by around 20%-23% annually, consistent with the last 2-3 years' performance. - Profit after tax growth has been around 30%, and similar growth is anticipated going forward. - There is significant demand, with an estimated INR35 trillion housing loan requirement in the EWS/LIG segment, the company’s prime focus. - The company plans to expand deeper into states and smaller towns, opening approximately 70-75 new branches annually, including 50 focused on a "deeper impact strategy." - The ticket size for home loans and non-home loans is expected to remain stable with incremental yields around 12.4%-12.5% for home loans and 16.7%-17% for non-home loans. - The approach emphasizes stable, consistent growth rather than lump sum spikes, aiming for healthy asset quality and sustainable profitability.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Aadhar Housing Finance expects AUM growth of approximately 20-23% year-on-year, supported by strong demand, especially in the EWS/LIG segment. - Profit After Tax (PAT) grew by 33% consolidated and 38% excluding exceptional items in the latest financial year. - Management aims for stable, consistent delivery rather than lump sum growth. - Return on Equity (ROE) may slightly decline to around 17.2%-17.3% from current 18.4% post-primary raise, with expectations to revert to current levels in a couple of years. - Return on Assets (ROA) is expected to stay around 4%+. - Cost-to-income ratio improved and management targets further reduction by 50-60 basis points. - Spreads forecast to be around 5.8%-5.9% in the near term with slight compression over the next two years. - With increased branch expansion and tech investments, operating performance and profit growth are expected to sustain.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Aadhar Housing Finance Limited. However, related operational and growth information includes: - AUM crossed INR 21,120 crores, recording 23% YoY growth. - Disbursements grew 20% YoY. - Incremental ticket size: INR 12.9 lakhs for home loans and INR 8.2 lakhs for loans against property. - Branch expansion plan of 70-75 new branches in FY25, focusing on smaller towns and deeper impact strategy. - Expected AUM growth around 20-22% in the current year based on management guidance. - Focus remains on the EWS/LIG customer segment with significant housing demand (~INR 35 trillion potential). - No specific mention of order book or pending orders as such since it is a housing finance company, the focus is on loan book growth and disbursements. Hence, the "orderbook" concept is more aligned to disbursement volumes and AUM growth in this context.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Recently completed an IPO raising INR 1,000 crores of primary equity in FY24 to support future capital needs and general corporate purposes. - Total borrowings as of March 31, 2024, were INR 13,960 crores, slightly lower than last year. - Borrowings are well diversified with 38+ lender relationships; 55% from banks, 25% NHB, and 20% NCDs. - In FY24, borrowed INR 5,560 crores at an average cost of 8.04%, including INR 1,405 crores from NHB. - In Q4 FY24, borrowed INR 1,970 crores at 8.36%, including INR 300 crores from NHB. - Cost of funds expected to see minimal increase with a 25 bps hike in RPLR effective June 16, 2024, to manage borrowing cost increases. - No current exposure to short-term CP borrowing; focus on increasing borrowing sources and longer-tenor loans. - Will continue with assignment strategy (8-9% of opening book) and slow expansion in co-lending.