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Ador Welding LtdQ3 FY23

Ador Welding Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Expecting volume growth of around 10% for FY24 and the next two years, based on current guidance.
  • Planning a growth of 20%-25%, possibly up to 30%-35% next year in the ONGC division with ongoing bidding for new projects.
  • Equipment segment volumes grew by 35% in H1, with expectations of continued growth supported by product mix improvements and increased automation.
  • Consumables volume growth was 22% in H1, with capacity utilization at 75%-80% and plans to add significant capacity (6,000-10,000 tons) over the next six months.
  • Focused on growing high-value consumable products from current 15% share toward 20%, to improve margins and sales quality.
  • International markets, especially Middle East and South America, offer substantial growth opportunities, with efforts to enhance brand presence and distribution.
  • The merger is expected to support scale and margin improvements, especially in the equipment and automation segments.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Volume growth in consumables expected around 10% annually over the next 2 years.
  • Equipment segment targets mid-teens (14%-15%) margin in medium term; double-digit margins expected soon.
  • ONGC order (approx. INR125-135 crore) will drive revenues Jan-July 2024, with 80-90% execution in this period.
  • Expected growth of 20%-25%, possibly 30%-35%, in the ONGC-related division next year.
  • Continued margin improvement focus via product mix optimization and automation ramp-up, with gradual margin gains over quarters/years.
  • International business scaling is encouraging, with growth potential potentially exceeding domestic market.
  • Capacity utilization in consumables at ~75%-80%, with planned capacity addition supporting growth.
  • PBIT margins in consumables have reached ~16.5% and may build on this base incrementally.
  • Overall aim to sustain/improve margins and achieve significant profit growth, leveraging automation and product innovation.

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Fundraise plans

  • There is no explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
  • The company reported borrowings at INR 32 crore at the end of H1 with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.1%, indicating a low leverage position.
  • No guidance or plans regarding raising new debt or equity were shared during the discussions.
  • The focus discussed was mainly on organic growth, product launches, capacity additions, and executing existing orders.
  • The merger is ongoing and subject to NCLT approval, but no financing related to this was highlighted.

Order book

Yes
  • ONGC order: Approximately INR 125-135 crores (net of GST), with around INR 15-16 crores already built; balance INR 110 crores, 80%-90% expected to be executed between January and July 2024.
  • Confirmed order pipeline for the flares and other projects: Around INR 30-35 crores for the next year.
  • Bid pipeline: Approximately INR 100 crores beyond confirmed orders.
  • For large flare orders similar to ONGC, currently no new large orders of similar size are being bid for; focus is on executing current large orders efficiently.
  • The company is actively bidding on projects including desalination, FGD, and other process equipment orders, but no very large flare orders at the moment.
  • Overall, the management expects a minimum growth of 20%-25% in order book and potentially up to 30%-35% growth for the next year as a division.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is adding significant capacity in consumables, with plans to add approximately 6,000 to 10,000 tons over the next six months (Page 4).
  • Continued investments are being made in international markets for brand building, approvals, and certifications, especially in Middle East, South America, and Brazil (Page 8-9).
  • Focus on ramping up automation quickly and efficiently as a key growth and margin improvement driver. This is expected to contribute significantly over time but not immediately (Page 17).
  • Investment in new product development and technology: Launched India’s first battery-powered welder with a strong R&D focus (38 technical staff, 5% of profits invested) (Page 3).
  • Working towards scaling equipment segment margins through product mix improvements and capacity increases, supported by the merger benefits (Page 7-8, 16).

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