Afcons Infrastructure Ltd
Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
capex: Yesfundraise: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No specific details on planned new fundraising through debt or equity for FY26 were provided.
- The company is comfortable with current debt levels and aims to maintain gross debt to equity ratio below 0.68 and debt to EBITDA ratio around 1.5x.
- They are prepared to raise debt if needed to support capex or project requirements to accelerate growth.
- In FY25, they deferred capex due to project delays; for FY26, capex is targeted around INR 1,100 crores.
- Overall, the company is in a comfortable position regarding finances and has not indicated immediate plans for equity fundraising.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- FY25 planned capex was close to INR1,300 crores but actual spend was around INR370 crores due to delayed TBMs for C2 project and deferred project awards.
- FY26 capex target is around INR1,100 crores, aligned with new project awards and mobilization.
- The company is prepared to ramp up capex further to accelerate growth, including investments in equipment and strategic assets.
- Recently incorporated a joint venture company in Saudi Arabia with a local partner to commence bidding activities, indicating strategic investment for international expansion.
- Focused on selective opportunities in Middle East (Saudi and Dubai), including potential to be main contractor with entities like Aramco.
- No specific mention of additional strategic capital investments beyond these points in the disclosed period.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Afcons is targeting 20%-25% top-line growth for FY26, supported by a strong order book and ongoing projects.
- Medium to long-term growth guidance remains a sustainable CAGR of around 15%.
- The jump in order book in the previous year is expected to reflect in higher turnover in FY26.
- The company is confident in converting L1 orders worth INR10,600 crores quickly to support growth.
- There is some risk of growth falling closer to or slightly below 20% if project awards are further delayed, though this is considered unlikely.
- Growth prospects are backed by increased government infrastructure spending, projects in urban transit, hydro sector, surface transport, marine, and industrial sectors domestically and selective international opportunities.
- Afcons plans to improve order bookings in FY26 over FY25 levels (INR15,960 crores booked in FY25), targeting INR20,000–25,000 crores excluding L1 orders.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- FY26 top-line growth guidance: 20%-25%, driven by strong order book and new order bookings of INR20,000-25,000 crores plus over INR10,500 crores of L1 orders.
- Medium to long term: Targeting a sustainable CAGR of around 15%.
- EBITDA margin: Expected to be maintained at 11%+ despite elevated FY25 margin of 12.8%.
- Profit after tax growth: Achieved 8.2% growth in FY25; outlook suggests improvement aligned with revenue growth.
- Depreciation expected to increase 10%-12% in FY26 due to capex plans (~INR1,100 crores).
- Return ratios (ROCE/ROE) expected to normalize upward as business elevates post accelerated depreciation phase.
- Risks include possible delays in order awards and execution, but management confident of quick resolution and keeps guidance unchanged.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- As of March 31, 2025, the pending order book stands at INR 36,869 crores, the highest in Afcons' history, approximately 2.9x of the turnover. (Page 5)
- Recorded strong order flows of INR 15,960 crores in FY25. (Page 5)
- L1 orders (pending awards) are worth INR 10,600 crores. (Page 15)
- Expecting several L1 projects to be awarded in Q1 FY26:
- Two Pune Ring Road projects worth INR 4,788 crores
- Rajasthan Water Supply project worth INR 427 crores
- Two Nagpur-Gondia projects (pending land acquisition approvals) (Page 16)
- Targeting new order booking in FY26 of INR 20,000 to INR 25,000 crores, excluding L1 orders. (Page 5)
- Total order book including L1 projects is around INR 47,000 crores (INR 36,869 crores + INR 10,600 crores). (Page 15-16)
