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Agarwal Industrial Corporation LtdQ1 FY23

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 546P/E: 10.7Market Cap: ₹621 CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Agarwal Industrial Corporation targets a volume growth of 10% to 20% year-on-year, as consistently stated by the management.
  • The company achieved a volume of 4,24,000 metric tons in FY23, up 10.13% from FY22.
  • For FY24, they expect to maintain a similar growth pace as FY23.
  • Expansion includes onboarding additional bitumen vessels to increase own shipping capacity, aiming to handle 80%-90% or more of volumes through own vessels.
  • Capex plan of approximately INR 150 crores to add around 20,000 metric tons vessel capacity, expected to contribute positively from the current year.
  • Management expects higher yields and improved EBITDA per metric ton with increased volumes due to fixed costs being spread over larger volumes.
  • The growing road infrastructure budget and increased road work in India support sustained demand growth.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Targeting a volume growth of 10% to 20% year-on-year for FY24, consistent with recent years. (Page 10)
  • Expansion of own bitumen vessel capacity by adding 20,000 metric tons, expected to save around INR 50 crores annually by reducing third-party vessel hire, enhancing EBITDA. (Pages 4, 9, 11)
  • Own vessel operations yield a minimum 20% operating margin, contributing positively to overall profitability. (Page 11)
  • EBITDA per metric ton likely to sustain or increase due to fixed costs being largely covered, resulting in higher incremental margins with volume growth. (Pages 6, 7)
  • FY23 saw a 32.03% rise in EBITDA and 44.87% surge in PAT, reflecting strong financial performance as a base for future growth. (Page 4)
  • ROCE has improved from 14.65% in FY19 to 22.52% in FY23, indicating efficient capital utilization supporting growth. (Page 5)

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Fundraise plans

  • As of now, Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited hardly has any debt on its books.
  • The company has internal accruals and a capex plan of about INR 150 crores in the coming year to add 20,000 metric tons of vessel capacity.
  • No specific details were given regarding new fundraising through debt or equity.
  • The company plans to fund vessel additions mainly through internal accruals rather than new borrowings, maintaining a low debt-equity ratio (declined from 0.51% in FY19 to 0.34% in FY23).
  • The management's focus is on efficient capital utilization and incremental vessel additions to drive growth.

Order book

The transcript provided does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited. However, from the Q&A and management discussions, some relevant points inferred are: - The company targets a volume growth of 10% to 20% annually, indicating demand visibility. - They have contracts with PSU refineries like BPCL and HPCL for supply (about 10%-15% of volumes). - In FY24, they aim to increase own shipping capacity by adding vessels to capture higher volumes. - The increased budget allocation for road transport and highways indicates strong industry demand supporting growth. - No specific figures on order book or pending orders were disclosed in this call. If you need precise order book details, refer to the company’s official filings or updated investor communications.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Agarwal Industrial Corporation plans a capex of about INR 150 crores in the coming year to add 20,000 metric tons of bitumen vessel capacity.
  • This investment aims to onboard additional bitumen vessels, integral to their bitumen logistics business, to meet growing demand and reduce reliance on third-party chartered vessels.
  • The additional vessel capacity is expected to help save approximately INR 50 crores in costs by using their own vessels instead of hiring externally.
  • The company targets a return on capital employed (ROCE) of at least 20% or more on these investments.
  • Operationally, they aim to handle 80-90% or possibly 100% of volumes through owned vessels as volumes grow, optimizing logistics and improving margins.
  • Internal accruals will primarily fund the capex, maintaining low debt levels despite expansion plans.

How does Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd rank vs peers in Chemicals & Petrochemicals?

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1Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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