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Agarwal Industrial Corporation LtdQ1 FY24

Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 546P/E: 10.7Market Cap: ₹621 CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 5 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company projects volume growth of 15% to 20% annually in the coming years.
  • Volume target for FY25 is set at 6 lakh metric tons, a 20% year-on-year increase.
  • Revenue growth is expected to be around 15% to 20%, provided commodity rates remain stable.
  • They aim to double the volume over the next 2 to 3 years.
  • Capacity enhancement through adding vessels and logistics advantages will support this growth.
  • The company plans capex around INR 150 crores annually, depending on opportunities, to maintain and expand infrastructure.
  • EBITDA per ton is expected to improve to around INR 3,800 to 3,900 in FY25 and FY26.
  • The market demand and infrastructure projects ensure sustained volume growth with limited challenges foreseen.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company expects a revenue growth of around 15% to 20% in volume and turnover for FY25, assuming stable rates.
  • EBITDA per metric ton is projected to increase from INR 3,625 to approximately INR 3,800–3,900 in FY25 and FY26, indicating improved profitability.
  • The company anticipates maintaining strong EBITDA margins around 8.3% and PAT margins around 5.13%.
  • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) and Return on Equity (ROE) are expected to be maintained or improved, with historical figures between 20% to 25%.
  • With increased utilization of own vessels and expanded fleet, greater operational efficiency and volume growth are expected.
  • The firm plans to continue strategic capex around INR 150 crores annually to capitalize on market opportunities without diluting equity, supporting sustainable earnings growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • The company has historically expanded using a mix of debt and equity to ensure cash flow stability with growth.
  • Currently, the company prefers debt as a cheaper option compared to equity and does not plan to dilute equity for vessel additions.
  • Future capex and vessel additions will depend on reasonable pricing opportunities maintaining return on capital employed (ROCE) and return on equity (ROE).
  • The company expects to continue capex roughly in the range of INR 150 crores per year based on opportunities.
  • Debt levels have increased due to recent vessel additions, but the debt-to-equity ratio is maintained similar to last year.
  • The company is comfortable adding a few more vessels through debt if required to meet local demand.
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising plans but expansion will likely involve a prudent mix of debt and equity depending on opportunities and maintaining financial ratios.

Order book

Yes
  • The company has received a significant order of 1,92,000 metric tons from HPCL, BPCL, and IOCL.
  • As of the current quarter, about 60,000 tons have already been supplied to these PSUs.
  • The entire order volume is expected to be completed within the current financial year (FY25).
  • Orders are supplied on a continuous, regular basis as per requirements.
  • The company maintains a strong order pipeline with expectations of sustainable long-term growth.
  • There is ongoing focus on infrastructure activity and market trends supporting robust order inflow.
  • No specific total pending orderbook value mentioned, but active orders and pipeline indicate healthy demand.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company consistently looks for good capex opportunities to maintain or improve returns on capital employed.
  • Capex depends entirely on reasonable-priced opportunities that align with maintaining current return ratios.
  • In recent years, the company has invested around INR 150 crores annually in capex.
  • Going forward, similar levels of capex investment are expected to continue.
  • There is a focus on adding vessels to increase logistics capacity, with debt preferred over equity dilution for funding such expansions.
  • The company may also consider producing bitumen on its own in the near future, indicating potential forward integration.
  • Expansion plans will be a mix of debt and equity to ensure cash flows are not impacted by growth.
  • No dilution of equity is planned currently; debt is the favored mode for financing asset additions.

How does Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd rank vs peers in Chemicals & Petrochemicals?

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1Agarwal Industrial Corporation Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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