AGS Transact

Q2 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Financial Technology (Fintech)

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰

fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- As of June 30, 2022, AGS Transact Technologies had a net debt of around Rs.645.1 crore. - The company plans a capex of around Rs.125 to Rs.250 crore for the full year. - Strong cash flows and profitability are expected to support debt repayment and investment. - Management expects the debt level to remain at a similar range and not grow beyond current numbers. - Incremental debt, if any, would likely be supported by contracts with banks via ATM, PoS, and security business deployments. - No explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the near future was stated. - The company is confident of managing its financing through operational cash flows and existing resources.
🏗️

capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company has planned a capex range of approximately Rs.125 Crores to Rs.250 Crores for the full financial year. - Strong cash flows and profitability are expected to support the capex and debt management. - The current debt level stands at around Rs.6451 million as of June 30, 2022, with planned repayments in the year. - Incremental debt is expected to align with contracts related to deployment of ATMs, PoS machines, and vehicles for security business, suggesting controlled future borrowing. - The management is confident about continued investments tied to business growth such as ATM and PoS deployment, digital payment solutions, and other automation services. - Ongoing initiatives like the "Ongo strategy" rollout in subsequent quarters indicate strategic investments in expanding digital business segments.
📊

revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company targets double-digit revenue growth in FY2023 and FY2024 driven by multiple factors. - Growth in payment solutions segment (constituting 80% of revenue) including ATM outsourcing, cash management, and digital payments. - Positive impact expected from regulatory initiatives like Cassette swap and RBI guidelines leading to increased transactions. - Continued expansion in CRM deployments with banks focusing on multi-functional machines (cash withdrawal and deposit). - Increasing deployment of PoS machines, especially with oil marketing companies, targeting over 20,000 incremental PoS machines. - Focus on operational leverage that will improve profitability alongside topline growth. - Strong order book and pipeline with many RFPs in the market boost visibility for higher revenues. - Incremental revenue streams from subsidiaries and other digital businesses expected to contribute to growth. - Seasonal uplift in transactions expected in Q2 and Q3 supporting volume growth.
📈

margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company is targeting double-digit revenue growth for FY23, supported by a strong order book and robust pipeline of RFPs. - Management is confident FY23 will be the best year ever, aiming for the highest profit after tax (PAT) to date, surpassing the previous high of Rs.83 Crores in FY20. - Q1 FY23 PAT was Rs.192 million compared to a loss of Rs.288 million in Q1 FY22, showing strong improvement. - EBITDA margin sustained at around 25%+, with Q1 FY23 adjusted EBITDA growing 35% YoY and 50% QoQ. - Operational leverage is expected to improve profits as topline grows, driven by payment solutions and digital business segments. - ESOP costs expected to decline from Rs.11.3 Crores in FY22 to about Rs.8.5 Crores for FY23, aiding profitability. - Interest cost reduction (Rs.1100 million decrease) following debt repayments will further benefit earnings.
📋

orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company holds a strong order book for FY23 across its business segments. - Payment Solutions segment (ATM outsourcing, cash management, digital business including PoS solutions and Ongo initiatives) forms the major part. - ATM outsourcing and cash management business continues to run on long-term contracts with banks, driven by bank expansion strategies and debit card issuance. - The company is seeing a healthy pipeline of fresh RFPs from leading public and private sector banks. - PoS deployment has strong visibility especially with oil marketing company contracts, with around 20,000+ PoS machines left to deploy immediately. - The management sees significant opportunities in expanding ATM and CRM deployments, especially as banks focus more on CRM machines. - Strong performance and order book in PoS business, ATM outsourcing, cash management, and digital business indicate robust growth potential and revenue visibility for the year.