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Ahluwalia Contracts (India) LtdQ4 FY25

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 839P/E: 22.3Market Cap: ₹6.0K CrSector: Construction

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • For FY24, the company has achieved a turnover of Rs. 2691.64 crores with a 38.11% growth in 3QFY24 compared to last year.
  • Revenue for Q4 FY24 is targeted at about Rs. 1100 crores, implying approximately 8-10% quarter-on-quarter growth.
  • Net order book stands at Rs. 11,246.83 crores to be executed over the next 2 to 2.5 years.
  • Total order inflow for FY24 till date is Rs. 5833.86 crores, with an L1 position in projects totaling Rs. 3229.87 crores.
  • For FY25, the target order inflow guidance is about Rs. 5000 crores, expected to materialize mostly in the second half.
  • Long term growth expectations are moderate (~20% revenue growth) considering the election year impact.
  • The company is focusing on increasing private sector orders from current 30% to around 50%, driven primarily by residential and commercial projects.

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • The company reported strong financials in 3QFY24 with a 38.11% growth in turnover and 57.02% growth in PAT YoY.
  • EBITDA margin improved to 10.90% in 3QFY24 from 9.61% earlier; PAT margin increased to 6.88% from 6.05%.
  • For nine months FY24, turnover grew to Rs. 2691.64 crore and PAT to Rs. 175.69 crore, reflecting healthy profitability.
  • EPS for nine months FY24 stood at Rs. 26.33, up from Rs. 18.20 in the previous year.
  • Company expects revenue growth to be about 20% for FY25, slightly impacted by elections.
  • EBITDA margins are likely to rise above 11% in FY25, continuing margin improvement seen in Q3FY24.
  • Execution momentum to pick up notably in key projects like CST in FY25-26, supporting earnings growth.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any current or planned fundraising through new debt or equity during the call.
  • Gross debt reported around Rs. 42 crores, which is relatively low.
  • The company expects to fund any election-related payment slowdowns through internal accruals and internal funding.
  • CAPEX guidance indicates stable spending (~Rs. 120 crores expected), with no increase anticipated in FY25.
  • Cash balance stands healthy at Rs. 236 crores cash and Rs. 350 crores in bank.
  • Overall, no indication from management about raising new debt or equity funds in the near term based on this discussion.

Order book

Yes
  • Current net order book: Rs. 11,246.83 crores to be executed over the next 2 to 2.5 years. (Page 4)
  • Gross order book: Rs. 18,647 crores. (Page 6)
  • Order inflow during FY24 till date: Rs. 5,833.86 crores. (Page 4)
  • L1 projects: Rs. 3,229.87 crores, including a Gems & Jewellery Park (Rs. 2,840 crores) and a sports complex in Assam. (Pages 4-5)
  • Additional expected orders this financial year: Rs. 200-300 crores through extensions and private negotiations. (Page 4)
  • Targeted order inflow for FY25: Around Rs. 5,000 crores, expecting a slowdown due to elections. (Page 4)
  • Bid projects pending award include Varanasi Airport, Darbhanga Airport (aggregate ~Rs. 2,000 crores), and Assam PWD projects (~Rs. 300-500 crores). (Page 14)
  • Private sector share of the order book: Currently 30%, targeted to increase to ~50%. (Pages 6, 15-16)

Capex plans

Yes
  • Capex incurred in the current quarter is around Rs. 31 crore; total for nine months is Rs. 86 crore.
  • Expected capex for the full financial year 2024 (FY24) is Rs. 120 crore.
  • For FY25, the capex run rate is expected to be similar to FY24 and not increase.
  • The company is focusing on organic growth around its core competence of buildings and factories.
  • Bidding for some urban infrastructure projects like airports and metro projects, as well as STP civil works, indicating strategic growth within core expertise.
  • No mention of major acquisitions or diversification into new verticals beyond the core building and factory sectors.

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