Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd

Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Ajmera Realty plans to acquire INR 3,500 crores worth of projects through a mix of organic growth and inorganic acquisitions. - Funding will involve a combination of asset-light models, Joint Developments (JDs), Joint Ventures (JVs), and use of company-owned land parcels. - The company currently has about INR 800 crores of debt and aims to manage new funding without fully leveraging upfront capital. - There is a strategic focus on minimizing capital commitment with asset-light and non-capital intensive projects. - No explicit mention of fresh equity fundraising was made; emphasis is on strategic acquisition and launch of new projects primarily via debt and JV models. - The company is aggressively working on debt reduction and improving its debt profile, as reflected in recent repayment of INR 58 crores and a reduction in weighted average cost of debt to 11.6%.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Ajmera Realty plans to acquire projects worth INR 3,500 crores to deepen its launch pipeline in FY25 and FY26, comprising a mix of joint development (JD), joint ventures (JV), and asset-light, non-capital-intensive projects. - The company is incurring business development and CapEx expenses related to these acquisitions and new launches, with a focus on MHADA redevelopment, SRA redevelopment, and society redevelopment projects. - Seven new projects, totaling about 1.7 million sq. ft. with a GDV of INR 4,270 crores, are under various approval and planning stages, targeted for launches primarily in the last quarter of FY25 and extending over the next 3-4 years. - Cash flow from ongoing and new projects is expected to be significant, with estimated INR 850 crores from existing projects and about INR 1,200 crores from the new pipeline. - The Wadala commercial land parcel, demerged to a subsidiary, is planned for phased commercial development starting next year, with construction beginning when market demand suits.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Ajmera Realty targets presales of INR 1,350 crore for FY25, with INR 306 crore already achieved in Q1, indicating confidence in meeting annual guidance. - Launch pipeline includes 7 projects with a GDV of INR 4,270 crore spanning approximately 1.7 million sq ft, set for launch mainly within the next 3-4 years. - Total land bank is about 11.1 million sq ft, primarily in Mumbai areas like Wadala and Kanjurmarg, with plans to increase yearly development run rate. - Sales momentum is strong in flagship projects: Ajmera Manhattan (80% sold), Ajmera Greenfinity (51% sold), Ajmera Eden (60% sold), and new Ajmera Vihara (24% sold after launch). - Revenue visibility stands at INR 6,243 crore from existing, ongoing, and upcoming projects; with expected revenue inflows over 27-30 months. - Company expects healthy volume growth supported by ongoing launches, approvals, and festivity-season demand.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Q1 FY25 showed strong growth: sales value up 36%, revenue up 67%, EBITDA up 72%, PAT up 52% YoY. - Presales guidance for FY25 is INR 1,350 crore, with INR 306 crore already secured in Q1. - Pipeline includes 7 projects totaling 1.7 million sq.ft with GDV around INR 4,270 crores. - Estimated revenue visibility of approx INR 6,243 crore from existing, ongoing, and upcoming projects. - Cash flow from ongoing projects estimated at about INR 850 crore; launch pipeline expected to generate INR 1,200 crore cash. - Average IRR targeted around 30%+ across different project types. - Company aims for 5x growth and continued debt reduction. - Asset-light and JV models emphasized to expand project pipeline of INR 3,500 crores over next few years. - Confident in maintaining strong financial momentum and improving credit ratings (CRISIL A- stable outlook). - Earnings growth expected to continue driven by project launches, completions, and monetization.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Ajmera Realty & Infra India Limited has total revenue visibility of approximately INR 6,243 crores from existing, ongoing, and upcoming projects. - Upcoming launches this financial year include 7 projects totaling 1.7 million square feet with a Gross Development Value (GDV) of around INR 4,270 crores. - The company expects around INR 87 crores revenue from projects at an advanced stage or with Occupation Certificate (OC) in the next 6 months. - Revenue from mid-stage ongoing projects is expected to contribute approximately INR 1,886 crores over the next 27-30 months. - Estimated net cash flow from OC received and ongoing projects is about INR 850 crores moving forward. - The launch pipeline includes MHADA redevelopment, SRA redevelopment, and society redevelopment projects. - The company is targeting presales of INR 1,350 crores for FY25 and has plans to acquire projects worth INR 3,500 crores to deepen the launch pipeline.