Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd
Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Ajmera Realty plans to acquire INR 3,500 crores worth of projects through a mix of organic growth and inorganic acquisitions.
- Funding will involve a combination of asset-light models, Joint Developments (JDs), Joint Ventures (JVs), and use of company-owned land parcels.
- The company currently has about INR 800 crores of debt and aims to manage new funding without fully leveraging upfront capital.
- There is a strategic focus on minimizing capital commitment with asset-light and non-capital intensive projects.
- No explicit mention of fresh equity fundraising was made; emphasis is on strategic acquisition and launch of new projects primarily via debt and JV models.
- The company is aggressively working on debt reduction and improving its debt profile, as reflected in recent repayment of INR 58 crores and a reduction in weighted average cost of debt to 11.6%.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Ajmera Realty plans to acquire projects worth INR 3,500 crores to deepen its launch pipeline in FY25 and FY26, comprising a mix of joint development (JD), joint ventures (JV), and asset-light, non-capital-intensive projects.
- The company is incurring business development and CapEx expenses related to these acquisitions and new launches, with a focus on MHADA redevelopment, SRA redevelopment, and society redevelopment projects.
- Seven new projects, totaling about 1.7 million sq. ft. with a GDV of INR 4,270 crores, are under various approval and planning stages, targeted for launches primarily in the last quarter of FY25 and extending over the next 3-4 years.
- Cash flow from ongoing and new projects is expected to be significant, with estimated INR 850 crores from existing projects and about INR 1,200 crores from the new pipeline.
- The Wadala commercial land parcel, demerged to a subsidiary, is planned for phased commercial development starting next year, with construction beginning when market demand suits.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Ajmera Realty targets presales of INR 1,350 crore for FY25, with INR 306 crore already achieved in Q1, indicating confidence in meeting annual guidance.
- Launch pipeline includes 7 projects with a GDV of INR 4,270 crore spanning approximately 1.7 million sq ft, set for launch mainly within the next 3-4 years.
- Total land bank is about 11.1 million sq ft, primarily in Mumbai areas like Wadala and Kanjurmarg, with plans to increase yearly development run rate.
- Sales momentum is strong in flagship projects: Ajmera Manhattan (80% sold), Ajmera Greenfinity (51% sold), Ajmera Eden (60% sold), and new Ajmera Vihara (24% sold after launch).
- Revenue visibility stands at INR 6,243 crore from existing, ongoing, and upcoming projects; with expected revenue inflows over 27-30 months.
- Company expects healthy volume growth supported by ongoing launches, approvals, and festivity-season demand.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Q1 FY25 showed strong growth: sales value up 36%, revenue up 67%, EBITDA up 72%, PAT up 52% YoY.
- Presales guidance for FY25 is INR 1,350 crore, with INR 306 crore already secured in Q1.
- Pipeline includes 7 projects totaling 1.7 million sq.ft with GDV around INR 4,270 crores.
- Estimated revenue visibility of approx INR 6,243 crore from existing, ongoing, and upcoming projects.
- Cash flow from ongoing projects estimated at about INR 850 crore; launch pipeline expected to generate INR 1,200 crore cash.
- Average IRR targeted around 30%+ across different project types.
- Company aims for 5x growth and continued debt reduction.
- Asset-light and JV models emphasized to expand project pipeline of INR 3,500 crores over next few years.
- Confident in maintaining strong financial momentum and improving credit ratings (CRISIL A- stable outlook).
- Earnings growth expected to continue driven by project launches, completions, and monetization.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Ajmera Realty & Infra India Limited has total revenue visibility of approximately INR 6,243 crores from existing, ongoing, and upcoming projects.
- Upcoming launches this financial year include 7 projects totaling 1.7 million square feet with a Gross Development Value (GDV) of around INR 4,270 crores.
- The company expects around INR 87 crores revenue from projects at an advanced stage or with Occupation Certificate (OC) in the next 6 months.
- Revenue from mid-stage ongoing projects is expected to contribute approximately INR 1,886 crores over the next 27-30 months.
- Estimated net cash flow from OC received and ongoing projects is about INR 850 crores moving forward.
- The launch pipeline includes MHADA redevelopment, SRA redevelopment, and society redevelopment projects.
- The company is targeting presales of INR 1,350 crores for FY25 and has plans to acquire projects worth INR 3,500 crores to deepen the launch pipeline.
