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Alicon Castalloy LtdQ2 FY24

Alicon Castalloy Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 651P/E: 27.6Market Cap: ₹1.1K CrSector: Auto Components

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Alicon expects a CAGR of approximately 15%-16% in top-line beyond FY26.
  • Targeted revenue for FY25 is around ₹1,800 crore, representing about 15% growth.
  • Q1 FY25 reported a 24% volume growth YoY, surpassing both global auto market growth (0.5%) and Indian auto market growth (16%).
  • New order bookings have surpassed ₹9,500 crore executable over 6 years (2023-24 to 2028-29).
  • U.S. market share in exports expected to increase from 10% to 14-15% in next 3 years.
  • Hybrid and EV segments currently contribute about 19% of revenue, with plans to increase hybrid contribution to 8%-10%.
  • Continued ramp-up in volumes from key customers like Maruti, Toyota, Stellantis, and JLR is expected.
  • Addition of new parts and entry into global markets will sustain momentum.
  • Investment in new technologies and facilities expected to further increase value addition and sales.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Alicon expects a revenue CAGR of approximately 15%-16% beyond FY26.
  • FY25 revenue target is ₹1,800 crore with around 15% growth anticipated.
  • In Q1 FY25, revenues grew 24% year-on-year, surpassing global and domestic market growth.
  • EBITDA margin for Q1 FY25 improved to 13.2% from 11.3% in Q1 FY24, with EBITDA rising 46% YoY.
  • PAT in Q1 FY25 was ₹19 crore, doubling from ₹9 crore in Q1 FY24.
  • EPS is expected to improve with the increase in profitability and operational efficiencies.
  • Alicon plans to increase hybrid and EV segment contribution, supporting future growth.
  • Investment in advanced manufacturing and technology is expected to enhance margins and revenue.
  • New projects and order pipelines with ₹1,200 crore expected from SOP parts in FY25 support growth.
  • Overall outlook remains positive with strong momentum in key product segments and customer additions.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript for Q1 FY25.
  • The company discussed capital expenditure of approximately ₹49 crore in Q1 and a full-year target of ₹151 crore for FY25, primarily for machinery and product development, but no indication that this will be funded by new debt or equity.
  • Finance costs have increased by 9% year-on-year to ₹10 crore, aligned with existing borrowing, but no mention of increased borrowing or plans to raise fresh debt.
  • No references to equity fundraising or dilution plans were made during the call.
  • Focus appears to be on organic growth and internal accruals to fund operations and capex.
  • Management is closely watching the macroeconomic backdrop but has not indicated any intent to raise funds externally at this time.

Order book

Yes
  • Total new order booking has surpassed ₹9,500 crore, executable over 6 years from 2023-24 to 2028-29.
  • New orders booked in Q1 FY25 amounted to around ₹650 crore.
  • Added eight new parts from five customers this quarter with a yearly average sale of around ₹150 crore and over ₹600 crore over 5 years.
  • 54% of new orders are from global markets; 24% from new logos; 82% relate to four-wheelers.
  • New order additions include segments: 23% Carbon Neutral, 10% Hybrid, 5% Technology Agnostic, and 3% Non-Auto.
  • A significant global automotive customer awarded an order for two critical machined and assembled parts produced in India for supply to the USA, potential size over ₹500 crore over product life.
  • Continuous momentum expected with increasing inquiries from existing and prospective customers aligned with strategies for higher value parts and global markets.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Alicon Castalloy Limited spent approximately ₹49 crore on capital expenditure in Q1 FY25, mainly on machinery for production and new product development.
  • The full-year capital expenditure target for FY25 is around ₹151 crore, reflecting increased activity and expansion.
  • A new cold core box manufacturing facility was added at the Shikrapur Plant in Pune, introducing advanced technology for critical parts, aimed at enhancing competencies and opening new business opportunities.
  • Investments in advanced digital process controls and machine intelligence are underway to improve manufacturing precision, efficiency, and real-time operational management.
  • The company has also invested in renewable energy, including a 5.2-megawatt solar power agreement and solar installations in India and Europe, contributing to over 40% of power consumption and aiming to exceed 50% soon, enhancing cost competitiveness and sustainability.

How does Alicon Castalloy Ltd rank vs peers in Auto Components?

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