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Allied Digital Services LtdQ3 FY23

Allied Digital Services Ltd Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 127P/E: 19.4Market Cap: ₹711 CrSector: IT - Services

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 1

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Targeting a four-digit crore top line by FY25 or mostly by FY26, indicating ambitious growth plans (Page 16).
  • Strong pipeline with multiple large deals close to closure, despite some delays due to macroeconomic conditions; expects significant growth if these materialize (Page 16).
  • Even if large deals don't materialize soon, steady growth is expected from existing pipeline projects (Page 16).
  • India business showed robust growth, with 53% YoY increase in Q2, supporting overall growth (Page 9).
  • Anticipate resurgence in activity and increased wins and deliveries in H2 FY24 (Page 9).
  • Progressive EBITDA margin improvement alongside revenue growth, indicating better profitability with scaling (Page 9).
  • Growth driven by expansion in cloud skills, Cyber Security, Smart City projects, and digital workplace services (Pages 10-11).
  • Additional growth expected from continued partnerships and enhanced sales channels (Page 8).

Margin guidance

Category 1
  • The company targets achieving a four-digit top-line (Rs. 1000+ crore) by FY25 or FY26, indicating strong revenue growth expectations.
  • EBITDA margins are expected to improve as revenue grows, with targets toward mid-teen percentages from current low double digits.
  • Cost optimization opportunities are anticipated as fixed costs grow linearly, helping profitability scale with revenue.
  • The company foresees increasing activity and large deal closures in the second half of FY24, leading to potentially higher top line and earnings.
  • Multiple large contract pipelines are near closure, expected to provide significant growth and revenue spikes.
  • The management is confident margins and profits will improve through margin-expansion initiatives and by eliminating partner margins in international operations.
  • Steady revenue growth is expected even if some large deals face delays, supported by farming and incremental projects.
  • Focus on higher-value, remunerative contracts is aimed at sustaining profitability improvement.

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Fundraise plans

  • Allied Digital Services Limited currently maintains a strong, debt-free balance sheet on a net debt basis.
  • The company holds cash and cash equivalents of around Rs. 99 crore, providing liquidity and financial flexibility.
  • There has been no significant capital expenditure recently.
  • The company is well-positioned to invest for growth using internal accruals without the need for external debt or equity funding.
  • No mention or indication of any immediate or planned fundraising through debt or equity during the Q2 FY2024 earnings call.
  • The focus remains on prudent financial management, maintaining stability, and leveraging a strong pipeline of contracts for organic growth.

Order book

Yes
  • Outstanding order book as of Q2 FY2024 end is Rs. 1,600+ crore.
  • Average execution timeline for the order book is around 3 years.
  • Orders sometimes get confirmation for 5 years but purchase orders (PO) are received yearly, making exact booking figures dynamic and not simply divisible over years.
  • Order book figures exclude incremental "farming" revenues and ad hoc projects such as infrastructure enhancements, cloud, and transformation initiatives.
  • The order book is dynamic, with renewals and new wins occurring quarter-on-quarter.
  • Large spikes in order book may come from smart city projects and large deal wins.
  • Management cautions against dividing the order book value uniformly across years for revenue projection as it does not reflect actual top-line.
  • Positive momentum seen with large deal pipelines and ongoing strong execution expected in H2 FY2024.

Capex plans

Yes
  • No significant Capex spend during the recent period, reflecting prudent financial management.
  • Company holds around Rs. 99 crore in cash and cash equivalents, providing liquidity for operational and strategic needs.
  • Owns a 7-acre land in Hinjewadi and 2-acre land in Kalewadi (near Capgemini and Fujitsu), planned possibly for a data center in the future, kept as an option for growth.
  • Investment properties (about Rs. 77 crore) include land and buildings such as a 56,000 sq ft building in Mahape (delivery center), 20,000 sq ft office at Seepz, corporate office at Nariman Point, and a new office in Calcutta for expansion.
  • No current plans disclosed for realizing investment properties soon; lands held with growth and expansion in view.

How does Allied Digital Services Ltd rank vs peers in IT - Services?

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1Allied Digital Services Ltd
Rev 2Mar 1

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