Alpex Solar LtdQ1 FY26
Alpex Solar Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹923P/E: 14.5Market Cap: ₹2.7K CrSector: Electrical Equipment
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 1
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
3 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 1- →Alpex Solar aims to exceed its revenue guidance of Rs. 3,000 crores for FY27, boosted by the upcoming 2.2 GW cell line becoming operational within 90 days.
- →The company targets to grow module capacity from 2.4 GW in FY26 to around 3.6 GW in FY27, with plans to further expand to 5 or 5.5 GW in coming years.
- →Long-term focus includes backward integration into wafer, ingot, and glass manufacturing with 5 GW capacity targeted around FY30.
- →The 2.2 GW cell capacity is expected to generate about Rs. 1,350 crores revenue from 1 GW at current TOPCon cell prices.
- →EBITDA margins on cell business projected around 35%, with company-level EBITDA expected around 25%.
- →Overall, Alpex envisions rapid growth fueled by government policies favoring domestic manufacturing and solar's increasing adoption as the least-cost, reliable power source in India.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Revenue for FY27 is guided to exceed Rs. 3,000 crores, surpassing previous guidance due to the upcoming 2.2 GW TOPCon solar cell line operational within 90 days.
- →The company expects significant EBITDA margin improvement post backward integration, targeting approximately 25% EBITDA and over 16% PAT margins from the cell business.
- →With the planned expansions (5 GW glass line and 5 GW ingot and wafer line by FY30), long-term growth looks strong, aiming at Rs.10,000 crores revenue by 2029-30.
- →PAT has shown a remarkable 54x growth over four years and EBITDA margins expanded from 6.5% to nearly 15%.
- →The company's cash accrual-funded CAPEX and vertical integration strategy aim to sustain steady margin expansion and profitability.
- →Migration to the main board is expected by February 2027, reflecting business maturation.
- →Overall, Alpex Solar projects consistent growth in earnings driven by technology upgrades, backward integration, and policy support.
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Fundraise plans
- →No explicit mention of immediate or current new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided pages.
- →Ashwani Sehgal mentioned that the initial phase of wafer and ingot manufacturing (trial phase) is being funded entirely through internal accruals without any loan.
- →For future expansion phases (2.5 GW wafer and ingot manufacturing), they are in an advanced stage of finalizing numbers but have not disclosed specific funding plans yet.
- →The company plans to announce detailed information about CAPEX and fundraising in the public domain soon.
- →No mention of planned equity dilution or further debt funding as of now.
Order book
Yes- →Current order book stands at around Rs. 1,900 crores.
- →The company is deliberately not taking more orders currently to focus on capitalizing on the cell business.
- →Guidance for FY27 order book is approximately Rs. 3,000 crores based on old estimates.
- →The cell line becoming operational is expected to add significantly to the order book.
- →The company anticipates surpassing previous guidance if good orders are received along with contributions from the new cell line.
Capex plans
Yes- →Setting up a 2.2 GW TOPCon solar cell manufacturing line in Kosi, Uttar Pradesh, operational within the next 90 days.
- →Planning a 5 GW solar glass manufacturing line targeted for FY2030.
- →Planning a 5 GW wafer and ingot manufacturing facility expected around 2029-30.
- →A 200 MW pilot wafer and ingot project planned to be operational by April 2027 to absorb technology.
- →2.5 GW manufacturing capacity of ingot and wafer to be operational by June 2028, with further expansions to follow.
- →Expanding aluminum frame capacity from current 12,000 MT to double or triple within the year using internal accruals.
- →Cell and module capacity expansions anticipated beyond the current 3.6 GW module line, potentially to 5-5.5 GW with newer technology.
- →CAPEX for wafer and ingot (2.5 GW and further 2.5 GW) is under finalization; initial phases funded through internal accruals without loans.
How does Alpex Solar Ltd rank vs peers in Electrical Equipment?
Pro feature1Alpex Solar Ltd
Rev 1Mar 3
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