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Alpex Solar LtdQ1 FY26

Alpex Solar Ltd Q1 FY26 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 923P/E: 14.5Market Cap: ₹2.7K CrSector: Electrical Equipment

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • Alpex Solar aims to exceed its revenue guidance of Rs. 3,000 crores for FY27, boosted by the upcoming 2.2 GW cell line becoming operational within 90 days.
  • The company targets to grow module capacity from 2.4 GW in FY26 to around 3.6 GW in FY27, with plans to further expand to 5 or 5.5 GW in coming years.
  • Long-term focus includes backward integration into wafer, ingot, and glass manufacturing with 5 GW capacity targeted around FY30.
  • The 2.2 GW cell capacity is expected to generate about Rs. 1,350 crores revenue from 1 GW at current TOPCon cell prices.
  • EBITDA margins on cell business projected around 35%, with company-level EBITDA expected around 25%.
  • Overall, Alpex envisions rapid growth fueled by government policies favoring domestic manufacturing and solar's increasing adoption as the least-cost, reliable power source in India.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue for FY27 is guided to exceed Rs. 3,000 crores, surpassing previous guidance due to the upcoming 2.2 GW TOPCon solar cell line operational within 90 days.
  • The company expects significant EBITDA margin improvement post backward integration, targeting approximately 25% EBITDA and over 16% PAT margins from the cell business.
  • With the planned expansions (5 GW glass line and 5 GW ingot and wafer line by FY30), long-term growth looks strong, aiming at Rs.10,000 crores revenue by 2029-30.
  • PAT has shown a remarkable 54x growth over four years and EBITDA margins expanded from 6.5% to nearly 15%.
  • The company's cash accrual-funded CAPEX and vertical integration strategy aim to sustain steady margin expansion and profitability.
  • Migration to the main board is expected by February 2027, reflecting business maturation.
  • Overall, Alpex Solar projects consistent growth in earnings driven by technology upgrades, backward integration, and policy support.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of immediate or current new fundraising through debt or equity in the provided pages.
  • Ashwani Sehgal mentioned that the initial phase of wafer and ingot manufacturing (trial phase) is being funded entirely through internal accruals without any loan.
  • For future expansion phases (2.5 GW wafer and ingot manufacturing), they are in an advanced stage of finalizing numbers but have not disclosed specific funding plans yet.
  • The company plans to announce detailed information about CAPEX and fundraising in the public domain soon.
  • No mention of planned equity dilution or further debt funding as of now.

Order book

Yes
  • Current order book stands at around Rs. 1,900 crores.
  • The company is deliberately not taking more orders currently to focus on capitalizing on the cell business.
  • Guidance for FY27 order book is approximately Rs. 3,000 crores based on old estimates.
  • The cell line becoming operational is expected to add significantly to the order book.
  • The company anticipates surpassing previous guidance if good orders are received along with contributions from the new cell line.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Setting up a 2.2 GW TOPCon solar cell manufacturing line in Kosi, Uttar Pradesh, operational within the next 90 days.
  • Planning a 5 GW solar glass manufacturing line targeted for FY2030.
  • Planning a 5 GW wafer and ingot manufacturing facility expected around 2029-30.
  • A 200 MW pilot wafer and ingot project planned to be operational by April 2027 to absorb technology.
  • 2.5 GW manufacturing capacity of ingot and wafer to be operational by June 2028, with further expansions to follow.
  • Expanding aluminum frame capacity from current 12,000 MT to double or triple within the year using internal accruals.
  • Cell and module capacity expansions anticipated beyond the current 3.6 GW module line, potentially to 5-5.5 GW with newer technology.
  • CAPEX for wafer and ingot (2.5 GW and further 2.5 GW) is under finalization; initial phases funded through internal accruals without loans.

How does Alpex Solar Ltd rank vs peers in Electrical Equipment?

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1Alpex Solar Ltd
Rev 1Mar 3

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