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Antony Waste Handling Cell LtdQ1 FY24

Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 472P/E: 22.3Market Cap: ₹1.4K CrSector: Other Utilities

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Core operating revenue grew 19% YoY in FY '24, reaching INR766 crores, with 21% growth including recyclable and RDF sales.
  • Anticipate continued core revenue growth driven by:
  • - Full-year operations from the waste-to-energy (WTE) plant contributing INR45-55 crores annually.
  • - Commissioning of the construction and debris (C&D) processing plant in Mumbai, expected to generate about INR30 crores annually.
  • - Increased ramp-up of Panvel Municipal Corporation (PMC) operations.
  • - Positive traction in new tenders post-elections, especially from July/August onwards.
  • Volumes managed increased by 12% YoY to 4.67 million tons in FY '24.
  • Waste-to-energy plant aims to improve plant load factor to ~80%.
  • Revenue guidance includes approximately 20% CAGR over the next 2 years, with EBITDA margins of 22-24%.
  • Vehicle scrapping business to start with cars and trucks, targeting ~50 vehicles/day and potential revenue of INR80-100 crores.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Core operating revenue grew 19% in FY '24, reaching INR766 crores, with a 21% growth excluding contract revenue.
  • Core EBITDA grew 29% YoY to INR198 crores with a 23% margin, aligning with company expectations.
  • Revenue growth drivers include the full-year contribution from the waste-to-energy plant, new construction and demolition (C&D) plant commissioning, and ramp-up of Panvel operations.
  • Management expects a 20% CAGR in core operating revenue over the next two years, driven by ongoing contracts and new tender activities.
  • EBITDA margins are anticipated between 22-24%, with PAT margins improving marginally to around 10.5%-11.25%, albeit impacted by interest and depreciation due to recent capex.
  • Continued incremental revenues from projects like CIDCO biomining (INR35-40 crores) and Panvel C&T (INR35-36 crores) support growth.
  • ROE and ROCE likely to improve over 3-4 years as new assets stabilize and dividends reduce equity base.

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Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any new fundraising through debt or equity in the current discussion.
  • The company has a net debt of INR343 crores with a net debt to equity ratio of around 0.5x.
  • They have a steady cash flow from operations expected to comfortably service and repay debt as per schedule.
  • If no new waste-to-energy contracts are won, the group aims to be debt-free within 4 years using cash flows.
  • The company completed recent capex using internal cash accruals, particularly for the Maharashtra waste-to-energy project.
  • No indication of near-term plans to raise fresh equity or debt; focus appears to be on utilizing existing financial resources and operational cash flows.

Order book

Yes
  • The company is actively bidding for several Construction & Transportation (C&T) contracts, with a major tender in Chennai currently open.
  • Tender activities have been deferred due to elections, but significant tendering is expected to resume from July and August.
  • The company is pursuing a waste-to-energy and biomining project tender requiring setting up minimum 1,400 tons per day of waste-to-energy capacity and 300 tons per day of biomining.
  • Proposals for some tenders, including the one mentioned above, are expected to be submitted around July.
  • New contracts and tender wins are expected to provide positive traction post-elections, supporting business expansion efforts.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company is planning capex for a waste-to-energy plant at the Kanjurmarg site; discussions with BMC are ongoing, with expected updates around June.
  • Vehicle scrapping and tire recycling businesses are in progress, with land lease deals and equipment suppliers being finalized; initial capex for vehicle scrapping is about INR 20 crores.
  • There is investment underway in the Panvel biomining project, CIDCO biomining, and a construction and demolition plant in Mumbai, contributing to incremental revenue.
  • Future capex for the Chennai waste processing tender, including waste-to-energy and Bio CNG modules, is under evaluation with details expected in upcoming calls.
  • Capex for PCMC waste-to-energy project was absorbed as equity, prioritized over debt, with ongoing efforts to get increased tipping fee approvals to cover cost overruns.
  • Overall, capex is modular and focused on scaling new ventures like vehicle scrapping and new waste processing plants over the next 2-3 years.

How does Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd rank vs peers in Other Utilities?

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