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Anupam Rasayan India LtdQ2 FY24

Anupam Rasayan India Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 1,266P/E: 91.1Market Cap: ₹15.7K CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Revenue expected to be equal or higher than last year with marginal growth, driven by strong resurgence in Agro segment in the latter half of the year.
  • Rs. 80 to 100 crores of deferment in demand expected to be recouped by year-end, largely from Agri portfolio.
  • New LOIs and contracts contributing about 20%-25% of this year's revenue with significant ramp-up expected in next 2 years.
  • Additional revenue of roughly Rs. 200 crores estimated annually over the next two years from new LOIs/contracts.
  • Polymer and Pharma segments growing strongly, with fluorinated products expected to form 30%-35% of revenue by FY27.
  • Investment in capacity expansion (Rs. 670 crores CAPEX) set to yield incremental revenue of Rs. 1,100 to 1,200 crores eventually.
  • Total revenue target around Rs. 2,000 to 3,000 crores in medium term.
  • Working capital expected to stabilize and support growth without significant new external debt.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Revenue growth is expected to be marginally positive for FY25, with recovery in the agri segment in H2 FY25 helping recoup deferred demand of Rs. 80-100 crores.
  • New capacity commissioning and LOIs/contracts contribution projected to add around Rs. 250 crores in revenue this year, with further additions of ~Rs. 200 crores annually over next 2 years.
  • Pharma and Polymer segments are expected to grow, with Pharma contributing 20-25%, Polymer 15%, and Personal Care around 10-12% of revenue by FY27.
  • EBITDA margins expected to remain stable in the 25-28% range, supported by higher margin Polymer and fluorinated products.
  • ROCE anticipated to improve driven by CAPEX generating asset turn of ~1.5x and margin expansion.
  • Working capital optimization over next 2 years expected to reduce external debt needs, aiding profitability.
  • EPS expected to improve gradually aligned with revenue growth, margin expansion, and capacity ramp-up through FY27.

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Fundraise plans

  • No significant new CAPEX planned for next year, so no immediate need for fresh fundraising.
  • Working capital currently high but expected to be released over the next 2 years.
  • Additional working capital for increased sales anticipated to be funded by release of existing working capital, minimizing need for external debt.
  • No mention of new equity fundraising in the call.
  • Overall, management does not foresee the need for significant external debt or fundraising in the near term based on current growth and CAPEX plans.

Order book

Yes
  • The company expects revenue growth driven by new LOIs (Letters of Intent) and contracts, with about 20%-25% of this year's revenue coming from LOIs/contracts commercialized over the last 1-2 years.
  • For FY25, new LOIs and contracts are estimated to contribute around Rs. 250 crores, largely back-ended into the second half of the year.
  • Over FY26 and FY27, the company expects to add roughly Rs. 200 crores additional revenue each year from new LOIs and contracts.
  • The management indicates confidence in achieving these targets despite agrochemical segment headwinds.
  • The order book includes long-term contracts, especially from Pharma and Polymer segments, supported by fluorination chemistry expansion.
  • No specific total order book value was disclosed, but growth projections imply a strong, growing pipeline from recent commercializations and contracts.

Capex plans

Yes
  • As of June 30, 2024, Anupam Rasayan has utilized Rs. 530 crores out of the planned Rs. 670 crores CAPEX, with the balance to be incurred in upcoming quarters.
  • The current Rs. 670 crores CAPEX is at the final stages and expected to be completed this fiscal year.
  • No significant new CAPEX is planned for the next fiscal year as existing CAPEX and capacity are sufficient for near to medium-term growth.
  • Minor investments are anticipated in renewable energy (wind and solar) and some plant repurposing.
  • Strategic focus includes investment in sustainability, such as a Rs. 59 crores hybrid solar-wind power plant (9.6 MW capacity) aimed at reducing energy costs and achieving energy net zero by 2027.
  • Investment in Tanfac expansion supports fluorination raw material supply security without requirement for immediate further capacity expansion.

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