APL Apollo Tubes LtdQ2 FY24
APL Apollo Tubes Ltd Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹1,818P/E: 43.6Market Cap: ₹52.5K CrSector: Industrial Products
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- →Targeting sales volume of 3.2 million tons for FY '25 with 20-25% growth next year.
- →Plan to reach 5 million tons sellable capacity by FY '27 through new plants in Siliguri, Gorakhpur, Ahmedabad, and ramping up existing plants.
- →Dubai plant capacity of 300,000 tons expected to be fully utilized by FY '27.
- →Exports currently at ~100,000 tons, with combined India and Dubai volumes expected to grow.
- →EBITDA per ton target near INR 5,000 by FY '26, supported by higher utilization and value-added products.
- →Expansion into high-diameter tube export markets using Dubai and India plants.
- →Continued focus on regional penetration with smaller plants to reduce freight costs and better serve local markets.
- →Long-term strategy emphasizes market share gain from scrap steel segment and leveraging lower raw material costs.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →EBITDA per ton expected to reach near INR 5,000 by FY '26, driven by better utilization and operating leverage benefits.
- →Ramp-up of new plants (Raipur and Dubai) and increased share of value-added products (VAP) are key growth drivers enhancing margins.
- →Sales volume target set at 3.2 million tons for FY '25, with a planned 20-25% growth next year and 5 million tons capacity target by FY '27.
- →Improved product mix and increased gross margin spreads quarter-on-quarter support margin expansion.
- →Cost rationalization efforts in power, steel wastage, and consumables continuing to strengthen profitability.
- →Working capital levels expected to remain low, aiding net debt near zero and improving cash flow from FY '26 onwards.
- →Market share gains anticipated as pricing gap with scrap steel products narrows, boosting volume growth and profitability.
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Fundraise plans
- →No explicit mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript.
- →Management indicated maintaining a near net-zero debt balance sheet for FY '25.
- →They expect surplus cash visible on the balance sheet from FY '26 onwards.
- →Capex of INR 500-600 crores for new plants (Siliguri, Gorakhpur, Ahmedabad) is partly underway, with INR 200-250 crores already spent mainly on land acquisition.
- →No mention of raising funds through equity or debt to finance this expansion; payments are in progress for land and future capex will follow.
- →The company aims to keep a conservative and healthy balance sheet without additional net debt.
Order book
- →On Slide 45 (referenced on Page 14), there is mention of ongoing inquiries requiring 220,000 tons of heavy structural steel tubes for about 42 million square feet of visibility.
- →The company highlighted strong order inflow for the newly commissioned 300 x 300 mm mill at Dubai, indicating good current demand.
- →Exports and orders are ramping up from the Dubai plant; full utilization of 300,000-ton capacity expected by FY '27.
- →Promoting a broad product range (300x300 to 1,000x1,000 mm) internationally, with active booking of orders.
- →Domestic export tonnage currently around 100,000 tons, with plans to ramp up combined exports from India and Dubai.
- →Emphasis on market creation and promotional efforts underway to boost orderbooks for high-diameter tubes.
Capex plans
Yes- →APL Apollo Tubes is planning a capex of INR 500-600 crores for three new plants as part of its expansion to 5 million ton capacity by FY '27.
- →New plants include Siliguri (to cater to East market), Gorakhpur (for Eastern UP, Bihar, Odisha), and Ahmedabad (to serve Gujarat).
- →These plants will mainly involve shifting existing mills rather than adding new mills.
- →The company has already incurred INR 200-250 crores related to land purchase and initial work for Siliguri and Gorakhpur.
- →Capex for plant and building will proceed once land possession is complete.
- →Focus on regional penetration strategy with these smaller plants rather than large new mills.
- →Renewable power initiatives are underway for the Raipur plant, expected to reduce power costs starting FY '26.
- →Further capacity additions and high-value product mills (e.g., 500x500 mm) may be installed depending on ramp-up success.
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