
APL Apollo Tubes Ltd Q1 FY27 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 2
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 2- →Targeting 15% to 20% volume growth for FY27, with Q2 and subsequent quarters showing improving momentum.
- →Q1 volume was around 7.5 lakh tons; aiming for 10 lakh tons in Q2, 10.5 lakh tons in Q3, and full capacity (5 million tons) plus new plants in Q4 targeting 12 lakh tons.
- →Expansion includes new plants at Gorakhpur, Siliguri, and Malur, adding approximately 2 million tons over 2.5 years, plus 1 million tons from debottlenecking.
- →Aim to increase value-added product share from 65% to 75-80% by end of FY28, improving margins and reducing commodity pricing volatility impact.
- →EBITDA growth target is 20%+ absolute growth for FY27, with margins stable around INR5,000-5,500 per ton, improving as operational leverage increases.
- →Long-term outlook includes capacity expansion and improving profitability from FY28 to FY30.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Targeting 20% absolute EBITDA growth for FY27 compared to FY26.
- →Volume growth guidance for FY27 is 15% to 20%.
- →EBITDA per ton targeted to be stable between INR5,000 to INR5,500 for FY27.
- →Expecting gradual improvement in EBITDA per ton by INR100 to INR200 yearly, driven by rising share of value-added products.
- →Aim for EBITDA per ton to reach INR6,000 at 8 million ton volumes within the next 2-3 years.
- →New capacity expansions (Gorakhpur, Siliguri, Malur plants) will increase volumes and share of value-added products to 75-80% by December 2027.
- →Return on capital (ROC) target is to improve from 30% to 40%.
- →Expect more stable, predictable profitable growth starting FY28 Q4 onwards with completion of capacity expansions.
- →Overall financial performance expected to improve over next 3-4 years (FY28 to FY30).
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Fundraise plans
Order book
Capex plans
Yes- →APL Apollo Tubes is putting up a 5 lakh ton plant around the Pune corridor to reduce freight cost (INR200 to INR300 per ton for Pune market) (Page 15).
- →New capacity expansions include:
- → - Gorakhpur plant (200,000 tons)
- → - Siliguri plant (300,000 tons)
- → - New Malur plant (1 million tons; value-added products with targeted EBITDA margin of INR8,000+ per ton)
- → - Another 0.5 million ton plant contemplated in either Maharashtra or North Karnataka
- →These new capacities totaling around 2 million tons are expected to come online over the next two and a half years (Page 4 and Page 18).
- →Capacity expansions are aimed at increasing share of value-added products to 75-80% and improving profitability.
- →A Group Shared Services company has been started to consolidate HR, IT, branding functions to reduce costs (Page 15).
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