Arihant Superstructures Ltd

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesfundraise: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰

fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company has raised funds through secured and institutional loans in Q1 FY24 as well as unsecured loans from promoters. - There is an expectation of increased debt in FY24 to support business development and land acquisitions. - Management indicated no new outright land purchases planned for FY24 but will consider asset-light opportunities with small investments. - Promoters have opted to withdraw rights to dividends to save funds for the company (~₹1.5 crores). - No specific mention of new equity fundraising in the provided transcript. - The focus is on managing debt responsibly with comfortable servicing and an overall margin target of around 30% after debt servicing.
🏗️

capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company is focusing on new project launches, particularly the "World Villas" project, with digital positioning already in place but no sales yet. Launch expected after design completion and approvals (around Q4 FY24). - Investment in land acquisition: Around 25 acres purchased in Q3 for plotted development and villa projects; additional 45-50 acres are under consideration with due diligence pending. - Capital expenditure on land and development includes a recent land purchase of 10 acres at Rs. 16 crores and development costs of Rs. 4 crores. - New projects expected to contribute higher margins (around 35%) compared to older projects (~10%). - Planned asset-light investments with focus on smaller land parcels and good opportunities; no new large-scale land purchases planned for FY24 but opportunistic acquisitions possible. - Strategic focus on plotted development with renowned architects appointed, aiming to redefine real estate in Mumbai region. - Funding for these investments includes raised secured institutional and unsecured loans; debt expected to increase but manageable with projected healthy margins.
📊

revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company targets a CAGR of around 35%-40% in sales and revenue over the coming years, provided project approvals and developments proceed as planned. - Sales bookings have risen from ₹265 crores in FY20 to ₹773 crores in FY23, reflecting a 43% CAGR. - Revenue is expected to increase at approximately 25% CAGR. - New project launches (around 2,500 flats estimated ₹1,000 crores revenue) and unsold inventory (1,600+ flats, approx. ₹1,000 crores) combined provide a sales potential of about ₹2,000 crores. - Villa project sales estimated around ₹1,000 crores with a 20% margin. - The company anticipates that increased project completions and new launches will positively impact margins and revenue growth. - Stable EBITDA margins expected, with gradual increase due to scaling of new projects. - The overall strategy includes blending income from villas, hotels, and resort memberships to yield sustainable 15% returns.
📈

margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Arihant Superstructures expects a sales CAGR of around 35-40% comfortably in coming years if project approvals fall into place. - Revenue is anticipated to grow at approximately 25% CAGR alongside the sales growth. - EBITDA margins are expected to improve with new project launches and top-line expansion, with no anticipated dip. - The company projects operating margins around 18% plus an additional 12-13% from debt servicing, effectively achieving nearly 30% margin. - A new villa project targeting sales of around ₹1000 crore is expected, with an estimated bottom-line margin of about 20%. - The company aims for better performance by enhancing cost efficiencies and expects price appreciation in their properties, contributing to margin expansion. - Debt will increase in FY24 due to business development but remains manageable with comfortable cash flows. - Overall, the outlook for earnings, operating profits, and EPS growth over the next 3-4 years is positive and sustainable.
📋

orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Total sales book value is around ₹7,700 crores (does not include upcoming villa project sales). - Inventory available to cater to sales is roughly 1.4 crore sq.ft. corresponding to ₹7,700 crores of top line. - New launches this financial year expected to contribute sales of about 2,500 flats with estimated revenue of ₹1,000 crores. - Unsold inventory from ongoing projects stands at 1,600+ flats with an estimated value of ₹1,000 crores. - Combined sales potential on offer is approximately 4,000 flats with an estimated revenue of ₹2,000 crores. - Company targets to achieve around 60% of sales from this inventory and new launches combined. - A villa project is expected to add about ₹1,000 crores to the sales book upon launch.