Arihant Superstructures Ltd

Q3 FY22 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No significant incremental debt expected for the current financial year; possible reduction in debt anticipated. - No plans to raise construction finance debt for current business operations. - Debt may be considered in the future only if good opportunities arise, specifically land stage debt. - Equity fundraising or new equity issuance was not mentioned in the transcript; focus is on utilizing cash flows from existing projects for growth. - The company aims to reduce overall group debt by approximately Rs.100-115 Crores over the next 4-5 quarters through internal funding and subsidiary transactions. - Overall, debt raise is selective and opportunity-driven, with preference towards maintaining manageable leverage.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Arihant Superstructures Limited has undertaken new acquisitions including around 7 acres of land on a joint venture at Shilphata and land in Titwala, as part of their capital expenditure. - The Shilphata project expansion now totals around 7 acres with a development potential of approximately 11 lakh square feet, aiming for around Rs.700 Crores in revenue. - The company is launching new projects in upcoming quarters including Arihant Aaradhya at Kalyan Annexe (~440 units) and projects in Titwala, Badlapur, Karjat, and Khopoli. - The group is focused on reducing debt over the next 4-5 quarters by internal fund utilization and land transactions among subsidiaries. - Arihant Abode Limited is set to use raised working capital for developing future phases of the Anhant Aspire project (five more towers to be developed). - The company anticipates no major new construction finance debt in the near term, relying on cash flows from current projects for growth and operations.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects a 30% to 40% growth in business across all verticals over the next three to four years. - Projects in hand cover a development potential of around 14.5 million square feet. - The market is favorable due to city growth and supportive government infrastructure. - New project launches are planned in upcoming quarters, including Arihant Aaradhya (440 units) and Titwala. - Sales momentum is anticipated to improve in Q3 and Q4, traditionally stronger quarters in Mumbai micro-market. - The company aims to complete mid-way projects and launch new ones in high-growth micro markets like Navi Mumbai, KDMC belt, Shilphata, Kalyan, and Titwala. - Debt is expected to reduce over the next four to five quarters, improving financial health and enabling growth. - The business pipeline includes 1.7 million square feet added recently, with a total pipeline of approximately 14.6 million square feet and a GDV of Rs. 940 Crores.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects to scale up significantly across all verticals over the next 3-4 years, supported by a strong project portfolio of approximately 14.5 million sq ft development potential. - Management anticipates growth in business by 30% to 40% in the coming years, aligned with current performance trends. - For FY2023, no specific quarter-wise growth figures were provided, but management remains confident in meeting yearly growth targets. - Q3 and Q4 are expected to deliver better sales momentum compared to the first half of the financial year, benefiting from easing raw material costs and stabilizing home loan rates. - EBITDA grew 10.5% and PAT grew 12.9% in H1 FY2023; improved margins expected due to easing inflation. - No major debt increments are planned; focus is on using existing cash flows for growth. - Overall, the outlook is positive with steady earnings and operating profit growth driven by project completions and launches.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Total development potential stands at approximately 14.5 million square feet. - Out of this, around 4.5 million square feet is currently under construction. - The remaining 10.1 million square feet is in the forthcoming project pipeline. - About 58% of the area in ongoing launched projects has already been sold. - The company has recently added about 1.7 million square feet with a Gross Development Value (GDV) of Rs. 940 Crores to its portfolio. - Key ongoing projects include Arihant Aspire, with future phases requiring significant outlay, supported by internal fund movements between subsidiaries. - Projects vary in construction life cycle from 3 to 4.5 years, with potential sales value around Rs. 1,000 Crores in the pipeline. - The company expects to utilize cash flows from 17-18 running projects for ongoing operations and growth, avoiding large-scale new construction debt.