Ashoka Buildcon Ltd
Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis
Construction
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 1orderbook: No information
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Revenue growth guidance for FY'26 is around 10%, revised down from an earlier 15% estimate due to delayed project starts caused by land acquisition and forest clearance issues. (Page 7, 9)
- Growth is expected to accelerate in FY'27, particularly in the second half, as current projects reach full execution and new orders convert into business. (Page 7, 9)
- Order inflows for FY'26 are expected to be between INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores across roads, railways, power, and other infrastructure sectors. (Page 7, 13)
- MoRTH and NHAI pipelines total approximately INR 75,000 to 100,000 crores; railway bidding pipeline is INR 25,000 to 30,000 crores; power sector project pipelines are INR 10,000 to 15,000 crores. (Page 13)
- Topline growth in Q1-Q2 FY'26 is muted, with significant pick-up anticipated in Q3-Q4. (Page 7)
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Revenue growth guidance for FY'26 has been revised to around 10%, down from an earlier 15% guidance, due to delay in project starts (land acquisition, forest clearance). (Page 7, 8, 14)
- Growth to pick up strongly in H2 FY'26 and especially in FY'27 as more projects reach full execution. (Page 7)
- EBITDA margins expected to improve to around 10%-10.5% in FY'26 supported by new order book mix. (Pages 12, 14)
- Standalone entity expected to generate positive operating cash flows in FY'26, excluding asset monetization. (Page 12)
- Order inflows expected in the range of INR 10,000-12,000 crores in FY'26 across roads, railways, and power segments. (Pages 13, 14)
- Asset monetization proceeds and reduction in debt will reduce finance costs substantially from FY'26 onwards, supporting profitability. (Pages 16, 17)
- Overall, sustainable EPC business focusing on highways, railways, power, and buildings expected to drive steady long-term growth. (Page 5)
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- As of March 31, 2025, the balance order book stands at INR 14,905 crores (excluding INR 795 crores of orders received post-March 31, 2025).
- Order book breakup:
- Roads and Railways: INR 10,867 crores (~72.9% of total)
- HAM projects: INR 1,859 crores
- EPC road projects: INR 8,688 crores
- Railway: INR 320 crores
- Power T&D: INR 3,618 crores (~24.3%)
- EPC buildings: INR 420 crores (~2.8%)
- New orders received:
- Maharashtra State Electricity Transmission Co.: INR 311.92 crores (400/220 kVA substation)
- Central Railway (gauge conversion & ROBs): INR 568.86 crores
- Target order intake for FY'26: INR 10,000 to 12,000 crores across roads, railways, and other infrastructure.
- Pipeline includes MoRTH, NHAI (INR 75,000 to 1 lakh crores), railways (INR 25,000 to 30,000 crores), power (INR 10,000 to 15,000 crores), and other sectors.
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No explicit mention of any immediate or planned new fundraising through debt or equity was made in the call.
- Debt levels are expected to remain similar in the near term, assuming current turnover and capital cycle estimates.
- Asset monetization (BOT and HAM projects) will reduce consolidated debt substantially by Rs. 4,000-5,000 crore by FY'26 end, which will consequently reduce finance costs.
- Standalone debt post-monetization is expected to be substantially low (Rs. 200-300 crore range), with potential for surplus.
- The company expects positive cash flows from operations in FY'26 without needing additional equity infusion.
- There is no indication of planned equity fundraising; however, cash on balance sheet may be used for sharing with investors or new business.
- Discussions on debt reduction are tied closely to ongoing asset monetizations rather than new debt raising.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The companyβs CAPEX target for FY'26 is around Rs. 200 crores across all segments (Page 14).
- Pending equity infusion in HAM projects stands at approximately Rs. 67 crores, including Rs. 225 crores for the recently won Bowaichandi project (Page 14).
- Planned equity infusion in HAM projects is Rs. 250 crores in FY'25-26 and Rs. 112 crores thereafter (Page 14).
- The focus remains on maintaining a sustainable EPC business across highways, railways, power transmission & distribution, and buildings (Page 6).
- No explicit mention of one-time strategic investments, but management is open to sharing surplus cash with investors and for new business (Page 13).
