Asian Energy Services Ltd
Q4 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis
Oil
capex: Yesfundraise: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Asian Oilfield Services plans to incur capex of approximately Rs. 70-75 Crore for the recently awarded seismic order.
- This capex will be funded through a mix of internal accruals and short-term debt.
- No specific mention of any immediate equity fundraising or public offerings.
- Management intends to manage capex internally and with short-term borrowings rather than through equity.
- Plans to list on NSE exist but without a defined timeline; focus currently on consolidating performance before pursuing listing or equity raising.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The company is incurring capex of approximately Rs. 70-75 Crore for the recently awarded seismic order.
- This capex will be funded through a mix of internal accruals and short-term debt.
- The management is evaluating entry into new verticals like EOR (Enhanced Oil Recovery) and de-commissioning, but no specific timeline is provided for these.
- Capex plans will be managed carefully with a combination of internal accruals and short-term debt.
- The company remains cautious about project selection and capex to avoid idle assets and optimize utilization.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects continued revenue growth in FY2020 and FY2021 compared to FY2019 based on a strong order book and commencement of project executions.
- Current order book stands at approximately Rs. 1,000 crore, with active participation in bids and a robust order pipeline, especially in seismic projects.
- Seismic business has significant opportunities over the next five years in India and abroad, with contract awards under OALP expected to total around Rs. 1,500 crore in the next 6-9 months.
- The Langley Turnaround Maintenance project in Nigeria is progressing well and contributing to revenue.
- Plans to diversify revenue streams across business verticals to reduce client concentration.
- The company anticipates growth in FY2022 and FY2023 as well from new orders being pursued.
- Outlook remains positive despite cyclicality and oil price fluctuations, supported by government policies like OALP and outsourcing trends.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Asian Oilfield Services expects good growth in revenue for FY2020 and FY2021 compared to previous years, driven by order book execution and new order inflows. (Page 10)
- EBITDA margin improvements are based on robust operating performance and are expected to be sustained per previously provided margin guidance. (Page 12)
- Order book as of December 31, 2019, stands at approx. Rs. 997 crore, with ongoing bids for new projects enhancing future revenue streams. (Page 3, 10)
- The company anticipates adding orders in upcoming years to diversify its revenue across verticals and geographies. (Page 4, 10)
- The company is positioned to benefit from strong seismic activity demand domestically for 2-3 years, partially mitigating business cyclicality. (Page 8)
- Profit after tax rose 276.3% YoY in Q3 FY2020, reflecting strong earnings momentum. (Page 3)
- No specific EPS guidance or numeric profit forecasts were provided. (Page 10)
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- Total outstanding orderbook as of December 31, 2019: Rs. 997 crore.
- Construction of oil and gas facility: approx. 21%.
- Seismic projects: approx. 58%.
- Operation & Maintenance (O&M): approx. 21%.
- Domestic orders: 79%, International orders: 21%.
- Recent significant order: Rs. 570 crore seismic project for 2D and 3D seismic data acquisition in Rajasthan and Gujarat with a two-year duration.
- Excluded from orderbook: $37 million (approx. Rs. 260 crore) seismic order received in Q1 FY2020 for Iraq, which is likely deferred.
- Current orderbook is about Rs. 1000 crore with a strong pipeline of bids.
- Indian seismic contract awards under OALP worth approx. Rs. 1,500 crore expected within 6-9 months.
- Asian participates selectively in bids focusing on good margins.
- The next year's orderbook is already mostly filled, aiming to add orders for FY2022 and FY2023.
- Mobilization for the Rs. 570 crore seismic order expected to complete by March 12, 2020.
