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Asian Energy Services LtdQ1 FY25

Asian Energy Services Ltd

Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 1

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

Yes

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

3 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 1
  • FY '25 revenue reached INR465 crores, a 52% growth over FY '24.
  • FY '26 revenue guidance (excluding Kuiper) is INR650 crores to INR700 crores, reflecting 40% to 50% YoY growth.
  • Approximately 70%-75% of FY '26 guidance backed by existing order book of INR973 crores.
  • New tenders expected to cover remaining ~30% of FY '26 revenue.
  • Kuiper Group acquisition (~USD68 million revenue, approx. INR550+ crores) to be integrated post-June 2025, with growth plans to expand Kuiper’s operation and maintenance services across Middle East and Southeast Asia.
  • Tender activity is improving in Coal Handling Plant (CHP), seismic, and Operation & Maintenance (O&M) segments, indicating future order inflows.
  • Long-term growth strategy includes leveraging Kuiper’s platform to scale global presence and diversify service offerings.
  • Expected EBITDA growth of 52%-66% and PAT growth of 66%-78% supported by strong execution and stable O&M contracts.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • FY '25 PAT rose 65% to INR42.2 crores; EBITDA increased 67% to INR72.3 crores with margin expansion to 15.5%.
  • FY '26 revenue guidance (excluding Kuiper) is INR650-700 crores, reflecting 40-50% YoY growth.
  • FY '26 EBITDA expected to rise by 52-66% to INR110-120 crores.
  • FY '26 PAT projected to grow 66-78% to INR70-75 crores.
  • Margin expansion driven by improved profitability, cash flow, strong project execution, and sustained O&M services contribution.
  • Kuiper acquisition (expected by June) to add USD68 million revenue with 8-9% EBITDA margin, expected to improve post integration.
  • Cost escalations on specific projects expected to be reimbursed, potentially boosting margins further.
  • Long-term growth plan includes capital infusion (INR157 crores preferential warrants) and working capital management to support scaling.
  • Focus on diversified revenue streams reducing customer concentration risk, supporting sustainable EPS growth.

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Fundraise plans

Yes
  • For the Kuiper acquisition, Asian Energy Services Limited is using a 5-year loan acquisition financing that has already been secured; only part of the cash and bank balances will be utilized.
  • Working capital requirements are planned to be met through existing working capital limits with banks.
  • There is no immediate additional requirement for new funds or working capital for Kuiper business, as it comes with net assets exceeding the acquisition price.
  • If additional working capital is needed for Kuiper in the long term, the company intends to raise funds by utilizing debtors within Kuiper's respective countries.
  • The company raised INR157 crores through preferential warrants, of which INR38-39 crores have been used so far; the remaining undrawn amount (~INR110 crores) remains available.
  • No mention of new equity fundraising beyond this warrant issuance; debt used will be project-specific and limited to maintain a healthy capital structure.

Order book

  • Current overall order book: Approximately INR 973 crores.
  • Order book split:
  • - Oil & Gas sector: Around 50%-64% of the order book.
  • - Infra (Coal Handling Plant - CHP): Around INR 350 crores (~36%).
  • - Seismic: Approximately INR 74 crores (~8%).
  • Kuiper Group acquired has long-term master services agreements with contracts ranging 2-5 years plus, providing stable revenue coverage of at least 2 to 3 years.
  • Execution guidance for FY '26: 70%-75% of revenue (INR 650-700 crores) expected to come from existing order book; balance from new tender inflows.
  • Tendering activity was slow mid-year but has picked up recently with new large tenders expected in CHP, seismic, and O&M segments.
  • New sizeable orders in CHP expected around INR 400 to INR 600 crores.
  • Kuiper Group's business provides a stable long-duration order pipeline due to master service contracts.

Capex plans

Yes
- **FY '26 Capex Plans:** - Acquisition of Kuiper Group: Capex of USD 9.25 million (~INR 75 crores approx.). - AGCL BOOT Project: Planned capex of INR 40-45 crores for FY '26. This capex will be recovered within 3 years as per BOOT model. - Potential seismic equipment capex: Additional capex may occur if the company secures large, profitable seismic tenders to enhance equipment base. - No other planned capex currently identified for FY '26. - **Strategic Investment:** - Complete acquisition of 100% stake in Kuiper Group (a debt-free company with revenues of USD 68 million in 2024), focused on expanding O&M services in Middle East and Southeast Asia. - Leveraging Kuiper’s established presence to access new markets (Qatar, Saudi Arabia) and enhance integrated O&M capabilities. - Utilization of acquisition financing secured for five years plus internal cash balances and working capital limits. No major additional working capital funding anticipated for Kuiper post-acquisition.

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