Asian Granito India Ltd

Q1 FY17 Earnings Call Analysis

Consumer Durables

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No specific mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in Q4 FY2017 call. - The company plans minimal CAPEX this year with focus on internal accruals and LC (Letter of Credit) for machinery purchase. - Quartz segment CAPEX of around Rs. 20 crores mostly funded via internal accruals and LC. - Future planned CAPEX includes Rs. 35-40 crores for South India JV in 2019, funded through internal accruals. - Debt reduction planned via annual repayments of Rs. 17-18 crores gradually reducing long-term borrowings. - Management indicates focus on organic and inorganic growth post-GST to minimize CAPEX. - No explicit discussion about raising funds through fresh equity or debt during the call.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Current CAPEX of around Rs. 20 crores incurred for quartz segment expansion (brownfield expansion). - Quartz capacity recently expanded to 1,600 sq. meters, with plans to add another 1,600 sq. meters through debottlenecking and further brownfield expansion. - Planned CAPEX of Rs. 35-40 crores for a JV in South India (Andhra Pradesh) focused on GVT products, expected in 2019. - Additional CAPEX of around Rs. 100 crores planned for expansions, including Crystal plant and other ventures. - Maintenance CAPEX typically around Rs. 8 to 9 crores annually. - Future expansions and CAPEX decisions for quartz segment to be based on market response after a 3-month observation post recent line launch. - Minimal CAPEX for the current year, focusing on optimum utilization and possible JV/outsourcing in Morbi to leverage market consolidation post-GST.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- FY18 revenue growth target: 12-13% - Volume growth in FY17 was about 10%; expecting continued growth in volumes with focus on high-value products like GVT, Double Charge, and quartz. - Quartz segment expected to contribute additional Rs. 50-60 crores in revenue with ~30% EBITDA margins. - Expansion plans include increasing dealer network from 970 to 1,200 by March 2018 and growing showrooms from 144 to 200. - Target to increase retail sales to around 50% in coming years. - By 2020-21, aiming for a turnover of Rs. 2,000 crores through organic and inorganic growth. - Capacity utilization expected to rise: Crystal plant utilization forecasted to move from 65-70% to 80-85%. - New product lines (e.g., quartz and parking tiles) launched with good market response, indicating potential for volume expansion. - Industry consolidation post-GST to offer growth and margin improvement opportunities.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Target revenue growth for FY18 is 12-13%, building on 7.5% growth in FY17. - EBITDA margins are expected to improve and be maintained in the range of 13-15% for FY18, up from around 11.5% in FY17. - Growth drivers include increased market share in high-value products like GVT, Double Charge, and new quartz segment with 30% margins. - Quartz segment expected to add Rs. 50-60 crores revenue with highest EBITDA margins (30-33%). - Expansion plans include increasing dealer network from 970 to 1,200 and showroom count to 200 by March 2018. - Benefits from GST implementation expected through industry consolidation and organized sector growth. - Working capital cycle improvement and retail sales growth to positively impact earnings. - Longer-term revenue target of Rs. 2,000 crores by 2020-21 with organic and inorganic growth strategies. - Capacity utilization target increases (e.g., Crystal plant from 65-70% to 80-85%) to support margin and profit expansion.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current order book for quartz segment stands at Rs. 9 crores (Page 12). - The Rs. 9 crores order book includes quartz products with 20mm and 30mm thickness (Page 12). - All quartz production is targeted primarily for the international market, and the company has already received approvals and taken orders for export (Page 12). - The company is observing demand for new quartz lines before committing to further capacity addition (Page 5). - Exports currently contribute around 7% to revenue, indicating some portion of orders are export-oriented (Page 12).