Asian Granito India Ltd
Q4 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Consumer Durables
capex: Nofundraise: Norevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No major CAPEX or significant fundraising plans are envisaged for the next 1-2 years as per management.
- The company plans to utilize existing capacity by product mix changes and focus on high-value products.
- Any volume growth is expected to come largely through an asset-light model, including JVs or associations with Morbi players.
- Potential investment could be explored in the South market through a JV, but this is still under process and no concrete plans or fundraises are mentioned.
- Consolidated debt increased by about Rs. 160 crores due to expansion in double charged vitrified tiles, with total debt around Rs. 375-380 crores as of Q3 FY17.
- No specific current indication of raising new equity or debt beyond existing facilities was provided in the call.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- No major CAPEX planned for the next 1-2 years; focus is on utilizing existing capacity by changing product mix to high-value products and maximizing utilization.
- Small CAPEX below Rs. 10 crores planned for showroom development in Morbi.
- New capacity installations:
- Marble and Quartz segment: a new line operational from April.
- Third line for GVT: expected to start full operation in April.
- 80 x 80 Multi Charge plant progressing well, expected to reach full capacity.
- JV under consideration for a new plant in South India to leverage logistic savings and market potential in Soluble Salt tiles, but investment is still in exploration stage.
- Focus on asset light model with outsourcing and JV in Morbi for mass products, while own plants produce premium products.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects a volume growth of around 5-6% in the next quarter (Q4 FY17) and continued growth post-GST implementation.
- For the next financial year, volume growth of around 7% was achieved in earlier quarters and expected to sustain.
- Revenue growth is supported by a shift toward high-value products like GVT, double charged vitrified tiles, marble, and quartz.
- Expansion plans include new capacities operational by April in marble and quartz, GVT third production line, and increased production of multi-charged and jumbo tiles.
- The company is focusing on increasing retail presence via exclusive showrooms, targeting to grow retail base from current 30-35% to 50%.
- Expected benefits from GST and organized market shift to maintain or improve pricing and margins.
- Joint venture plans and capacity addition in South India for soluble salt tiles to expand geographic reach and market share.
- Sustainable EBITDA margins expected at around 13.6% with improvements in coming years.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Confident to sustain and improve operating (EBITDA) margins beyond current 13.6% in next financial years, though exact basis point increase not specified.
- Growth driven by high-value products (GVT, double charged, marble & quartz) manufactured in-house and improvements in product mix.
- Expect volume growth around 5-6% for next quarters and post-GST implementation benefits to pricing and margins.
- Company plans to increase government business from current 10% to 25%, grow retail base to 50%, and benefit from organized market shift post-GST.
- Expansion in capacity with new lines for marble & quartz and GVT beginning April, supporting revenue and margin growth.
- Earnings growth shown by 33.3% YoY PAT increase for Q3 and 56.7% for nine months FY17; confidence expressed to maintain growth trajectory in future quarters.
- No major CAPEX planned next 1-2 years; focus on utilizing existing capacity and asset-light models to drive profitability.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- On Page 9, Kamlesh Patel mentions that the 80 x 80 product, which is a recent addition to their portfolio, has already secured orders booked for the next 3 months in double charged tiles.
- No explicit numerical value or overall orderbook figure is provided in the transcript.
- The confidence in increasing sales, especially in GVT and double charged products, indicates a robust current and near-term demand pipeline.
- The company is optimistic about sustaining volume growth of around 5-7% and maintaining or improving EBITDA margins, driven by this orderbook and product mix.
- Additionally, the planned capacity expansions in marble, quartz, and GVT segments (starting April) and JV explorations indicate preparation for increased order fulfillment in the coming quarters.
