AYM Syntex Ltd
Q3 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Textiles & Apparels
fundraise: Nocapex: Norevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- The company has completed its CAPEX cycle and has no plans for any new CAPEX going forward.
- There are some pending payments related to already committed CAPEX, but these are expected to conclude within a quarter or two.
- The management clearly stated there will be no further committed CAPEX, indicating no current requirement for additional fundraising.
- The plan for FY 2019-20 is to limit all expenditures and focus on reducing debt and improving balance sheet quality.
- Net debt as of September 30 is around Rs. 262 crores, expected to peak in this quarter and then ease out over the coming months.
- Overall, the management's strategy is to start deleveraging and improve profitability without raising fresh debt or equity in the near future.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- The CAPEX cycle has been completed; no new CAPEX commitments from now onwards.
- Pending payments remain for already committed capital expenditure, such as the BCF lines, with 90% payment done and around 10% (guarantee payments) pending.
- The company expects to finish all pending CAPEX within 1 to 2 quarters.
- AYM Syntex plans no new CAPEX in FY 2019-20; focus will be on limiting expenditures.
- Emphasis in the near future will be on debt reduction and improving balance sheet quality.
- The recent BCF line expansion will increase capacity by roughly 50% and is expected to ramp up through FY20.
- Smaller capacity utilization increases for BCF started immediately after line commissioning, expected to be fully operational by Q1 FY20.
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects increased volumes as the newly installed BCF (Bulked Continuous Filament) lines start contributing, with ramp-up beginning in FY20 and full utilization by Q1 of the next year.
- Strategic customers in Nylon and Polyester segments have been added, with volumes stable but expected to grow gradually.
- Six new verticals created are showing positive progress, especially industrial yarns and automotive segments, indicating future sales growth.
- Ongoing product developments and increasing sampling activities with customers aim to convert more trials into business, enhancing future revenues.
- Cost reduction measures and efficiency improvements initiated are expected to improve profitability and support sustainable growth.
- No further CAPEX planned, focusing on leveraging existing assets to increase sales and reduce debt.
- Overall, the company anticipates steady growth in sales, revenue, and volumes driven by capacity expansions, strategic customer additions, and new product segments.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Company expects EBITDA and earnings to improve if the external environment remains stable, with positive momentum seen on the horizon (Page 4).
- Cost reduction measures across all fronts are expected to start bearing fruit from the next quarter onwards, aiding profitability (Page 2).
- The CAPEX cycle is nearing completion, reducing capital expenditures and enabling focus on debt reduction and free cash flow generation (Pages 4 and 11).
- Net debt is currently at Rs. 262 crores with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7, expected to ease over the coming quarters, improving financial health (Page 2).
- Capacity expansions, especially in BCF lines with ~50% capacity increase, are expected to ramp up by FY20, contributing positively to volumes and margins (Pages 6-7).
- Strategic customer additions and improved plant operating metrics (efficiency, reduced wastage) support operating profit growth (Pages 2, 12).
- Management aims to improve profitability without committing new CAPEX, focusing on leveraging existing assets and operational improvements (Page 11).
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- AYM Syntex has seen consistent orders from new strategic customers, especially over the last year.
- Sampling activity has increased significantly in the last 12 months, particularly in six focus verticals.
- While the sampling conversion rate is low (about 1 in 10-20 samples converts to business), the converted businesses have shown increasing stability.
- Bulk orders have started flowing in new segments like carpet, and business development in automotive, industrial yarns, and denim verticals has progressed well.
- New bulk customer added this quarter in polyester; advance stage trials ongoing with two more large customers.
- Solution-dyed nylon volumes in BCF are at their highest ever, comprising more than 15% of the total BCF business.
- Comfeels brandβs first bulk supply has reached partners with encouraging feedback; more sampling and trial orders expected from other geographies soon.
- Overall, order pipeline reflects gradual scaling, with better traction post-Diwali expected.
