AYM Syntex Ltd
Q3 FY19 Earnings Call Analysis
Textiles & Apparels
fundraise: Nocapex: Norevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No new CAPEX plans are anticipated in the coming few quarters, indicating limited immediate need for large fundraising.
- Warrants were converted by promoters during the quarter, leading to a conversion of Rs. 24 crores of ICDs into equity, which has reduced net debt.
- Net debt has already reduced from 274 crores in March to 258 crores in September 2019.
- Majority of the cash flows generated will be used to reduce net debt with only minor annual CAPEX of 5-10 crores for maintenance or plant improvements.
- No mention of any planned new debt or equity fundraising in the current or near future.
- Management focus is on maximizing productivity and growing sales without additional capital infusion.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- No major CAPEX planned going forward; the company has completed its major CAPEX cycle.
- Current and near-future CAPEX is limited to minor plant improvements and maintenance, estimated at about ₹5-10 crores annually.
- Focus will be on maximizing productivity from existing assets rather than new capacity additions.
- Strategic investments involve increasing sales and EBITDA without expanding capacity.
- New product developments and customer acquisitions are ongoing, especially in solution dyed nylon, automotive BCF, and industrial segments but without significant capital outlay.
- Warrants have been converted into equity, reducing net debt and reinforcing promoter confidence.
- The company aims to grow organically through better utilization and innovation rather than through large capital investments.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The company expects to increase sales and volumes primarily through:
- Maximizing productivity of existing assets without major CAPEX.
- Growing export business further, which currently stands at 39% of revenue.
- Adding new customers and increasing business from strategic customers.
- Expanding exports as well as domestic business; domestic segment has negative working capital and immediate payments.
- Enhancing product mix through innovations like solution dyed nylon and new carpet products.
- Improving capacity utilization, especially in Palghar, where sales can increase by 20-30% from current levels with contribution directly boosting EBITDA.
- Recruiting and strengthening the sales team to overcome current bottlenecks.
- Leveraging opportunities in automotive BCF and industrial segments.
- Expecting growth momentum to continue post-Diwali despite December generally being a weaker quarter.
- Maintaining a healthy order backlog, especially in BCF segment.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects continued quarter-on-quarter growth in EBITDA, having increased from around ₹16 crore six quarters ago to over ₹25 crore recently.
- Growth momentum is anticipated to continue post-Diwali, despite Q3 typically being weak due to seasonal factors.
- Opportunities to increase EBITDA and sales exist without additional CAPEX; focus will be on maximizing productivity of existing assets.
- Export growth, currently at 39%, is expected to rise further, contributing to improved margins and better quality business.
- Incremental sales, especially from Palghar operations, can increase 20-30% from current levels, with full contribution flowing to the bottom line.
- Minor maintenance CAPEX of ₹5-10 crore annually will continue, but majority of cash flows will focus on net debt reduction, strengthening the balance sheet.
- New product innovations and market expansions, particularly in carpet and automotive segments, are expected to drive future earnings growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- BCF segment: Running at full capacity with a healthy order backlog currently. Potential for productivity improvements exists.
- Palghar plant: Operating 20%-30% below peak capacity, with scope to increase sales by 20%-30%, which would directly improve profitability.
- Automotive BCF: New European customer trial container received; if successful, volumes expected to ramp up.
- Solution dyed nylon: Executed highest ever volumes this quarter, with ongoing sampling and prospects for new customers.
- Industrial segment: Order backlog present; cautious growth approach focused on value-added products and export customers.
- Sampling activities: Increasing steadily across divisions, seen as indicative of future business growth.
- Overall outlook: Expectation to continue momentum post-Diwali, with new hires to expand sales capability and convert trials to strategic orders.
