Bajaj Auto Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Automobiles

Full Stock Analysis
capex: Yesfundraise: No informationrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

The document does not mention any current or future fundraising plans through debt or equity for Bajaj Auto Limited. Key points related to finances include: - The company reported a strong cash surplus of over INR 19,500 crores. - Added net free cash flows of about INR 2,000 crores in the quarter. - The cash balance provides sufficient capacity for growth. - There is no discussion or indication of plans to raise additional funds via debt or equity in the near term. Hence, Bajaj Auto seems financially stable with no immediate plans for external fundraising.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Bajaj Auto is investing substantially in electric vehicles (EVs), including both 2-wheelers and electric 3-wheelers. - A new manufacturing facility for electric 3-wheelers is being built at their Waluj, Aurangabad site. - EV-related capital expenditure (capex) for the current year is expected to be between INR 400 crores to INR 500 crores. - The company is also setting up a manufacturing unit in the Manaus special economic zone in Brazil to address supply constraints there, expected to be operational within 12 months. - Investment focuses on product performance, reliability, durability, supply chain optimization, and R&D initiatives to reduce sourcing costs of key components. - For Triumph, capacity expansion is being managed cautiously with phased increases both in production and retail networks, leveraging the fungible plant capacity of 25,000 units per month at Chakan-2.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Exports are expected to gradually recover from current levels (140,000 units/month) towards previous peak of 200,000 units/month over an unspecified timeline, driven by intact fundamental demand drivers like demographics and low penetration in Africa and Latin America. - Domestic motorcycle business is anticipated to sustain revenue momentum and outpace industry growth, especially in the 125cc+ segment. - Electric vehicle sales currently at about 2% of volumes, with plans to increase Chetak electric scooter sales to 3-4% of total by year-end, doubling from current 2%. - New product launches, including additions to the Pulsar portfolio in next 3-4 months and continued launches in Q4, are expected to support volume growth. - Electric 3-wheelers production is scaling up, with phased expansion starting September. - Triumph brand expansion to about 60% of addressable market planned by year-end with new model launches ongoing. - Capex of INR 400-500 crores planned for EV-related investments to fuel future growth.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Bajaj Auto expects a gradual recovery in exports, with volumes currently at 140,000 units/month growing towards the previous peak of 200,000, although no specific timeline was given. - Domestic business is expected to sustain revenue momentum, driven by growth in motorcycles, commercial vehicles, and electric vehicles (EVs). - Operating leverage is anticipated as volumes grow and revenues build up, partly offsetting mix headwinds from EV expansion and export product mix. - Margins are expected to be managed dynamically, balancing price versus cost with operating leverage, maintaining profitability at current levels (~19% EBITDA margin). - EV volumes (currently ~2% of sales) could double to 3-4% by year-end, supporting incremental revenue growth but possibly exerting some margin pressure. - Capital expenditure of INR 400-500 crores in FY24 for EV-related investments indicates commitment to future growth engines. - Overall, earnings growth is expected from domestic demand, gradual export recovery, and new product lines, with cautious optimism on margin stability.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- On the Triumph launch bookings, the company has received encouraging numbers but has not conducted a deep dive analysis yet. - Qualitative feedback suggests the bookings are from a new set of customers, primarily aspirants in the 250 to 500cc segment, not cannibalizing existing Pulsar customers. - For electric 3-wheelers, the response over the last 2 months in selected cities has been very positive with healthy bookings. - The company plans to start scaling up the electric 3-wheeler business from September onwards in a phased manner. - Regarding expansion, the company targets to cover about 60% of the addressable market for Triumph by the end of the year through at least one store in the location. - The company’s outlook remains cautiously optimistic with expected incremental improvements in order inflow and retail performance.