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Banswara Syntex LtdQ2 FY23

Banswara Syntex Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 138P/E: 15.8Market Cap: ₹403 CrSector: Textiles & Apparels

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 4

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

No

Order

No

Capex

Yes

1 of 5 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 4
  • Long-term growth objectives remain unchanged with optimism about doubling revenues in four years (Page 12).
  • Revised revenue guidance for FY24 is INR 1,400 to 1,450 crores, with potential to reach INR 1,550 crores depending on market conditions (Page 4).
  • Demand is expected to pick up in Q3 and Q4 as customers deplete overstocked inventory and place new orders (Page 4, 10).
  • Export and domestic demand likely to recover; domestic expected to be good, exports could surprise positively (Page 10, 12).
  • Capacity utilizations have scope to improve: fabric by 10%, garment division expected to increase utilization from 47% to 67-77% (Page 7, 9).
  • Company plans to grow fabric and garment divisions as value addition is higher, with focus shifting away from yarn business (Pages 6, 12).
  • Launch of a new fabric brand in India planned around February next year, targeting INR 100 crores in first year (Page 5).

Margin guidance

Category 2
  • Management remains optimistic about long-term growth, targeting revenue doubling in four years.
  • Expectation to achieve 15% EBITDA margin in the longer term, recovering from temporary margin pressures due to oversupply and yarn price drops.
  • Revenue mix to shift with increased focus on fabric and garment divisions, which have higher margins than yarn.
  • Capacity utilization improvements planned: fabric by 10%, garment by 20-30%, aiding margin enhancement.
  • Anticipate recovery in demand and margins in Q3 and Q4 FY24 with better order inflow, especially in fabric and garments.
  • Revised full-year revenue guidance is INR 1,400 to 1,450 crores, with potential upside.
  • Continual efforts to enhance value addition and capture market share in domestic and export markets.
  • Profitability expected to improve post Q2 FY24 as global and domestic demand picks up.
  • Temporary factors like energy cost and inventory overstocking to ease, supporting earnings improvement.

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Fundraise plans

No
  • As of Q1 FY24, Banswara Syntex's gross debt stood at INR 309 crores and net debt at INR 297 crores.
  • The company expects net debt to remain roughly in the same range (INR 320 to 325 crores), with only marginal increases possible due to planned growth initiatives.
  • Kavita Gandhi indicated that any significant increase in debt would only occur if there is higher capital expenditure (capex) for expansion.
  • However, some planned capex, especially INR 35 crores earmarked for yarn expansion, is currently on hold due to subdued demand.
  • There was no mention of any ongoing or planned equity fundraising in the call.
  • Overall, the company aims to keep debt stable with minor fluctuations and no major new fundraising through debt or equity is currently planned.

Order book

No
  • Current demand is subdued due to customer overstocking across domestic and export markets.
  • Customers are willing to shift orders to Banswara Syntex but cannot place new orders until existing stock is depleted.
  • Sales are expected to pick up in Q3 and Q4 as stock levels normalize.
  • For garments, new big orders are expected to begin acceptance within 10-20 days from the call date (August 2023), with deliveries in Q3.
  • Fabric orders have seen a decline but inquiries and samplings for Q3 and Q4 look encouraging.
  • Overall, the company anticipates a recovery in order inflow and increased capacity utilization in the latter half of FY24.
  • Management remains optimistic about demand ramp-up driven by the India growth story and global shifts toward sourcing from India.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Q1 FY24 capex incurred: INR 28 crores
  • - Yarn: INR 21 crores
  • - Fabric: INR 2 crores
  • - Garment: INR 3 crores
  • - Common capex for divisions: remaining amount
  • FY24 planned capex: INR 90-92 crores (subject to market conditions)
  • - Yarn: INR 35 crores (currently on hold due to subdued demand)
  • - Fabric: INR 10-15 crores
  • - Garment: INR 2-3 crores
  • - Common capex: larger portion allocated
  • Strategic focus on expanding fabric and garment capacities rather than yarn, as yarn margins are under pressure.
  • Capex plans may be adjusted based on market scenario and demand recovery.

How does Banswara Syntex Ltd rank vs peers in Textiles & Apparels?

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