Banswara Syntex

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Textiles & Apparels

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 2orderbook: No
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- As of Q1 FY24, Banswara Syntex's gross debt stood at INR 309 crores and net debt at INR 297 crores. - The company expects net debt to remain roughly in the same range (INR 320 to 325 crores), with only marginal increases possible due to planned growth initiatives. - Kavita Gandhi indicated that any significant increase in debt would only occur if there is higher capital expenditure (capex) for expansion. - However, some planned capex, especially INR 35 crores earmarked for yarn expansion, is currently on hold due to subdued demand. - There was no mention of any ongoing or planned equity fundraising in the call. - Overall, the company aims to keep debt stable with minor fluctuations and no major new fundraising through debt or equity is currently planned.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Q1 FY24 capex incurred: INR 28 crores - Yarn: INR 21 crores - Fabric: INR 2 crores - Garment: INR 3 crores - Common capex for divisions: remaining amount - FY24 planned capex: INR 90-92 crores (subject to market conditions) - Yarn: INR 35 crores (currently on hold due to subdued demand) - Fabric: INR 10-15 crores - Garment: INR 2-3 crores - Common capex: larger portion allocated - Strategic focus on expanding fabric and garment capacities rather than yarn, as yarn margins are under pressure. - Capex plans may be adjusted based on market scenario and demand recovery.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Long-term growth objectives remain unchanged with optimism about doubling revenues in four years (Page 12). - Revised revenue guidance for FY24 is INR 1,400 to 1,450 crores, with potential to reach INR 1,550 crores depending on market conditions (Page 4). - Demand is expected to pick up in Q3 and Q4 as customers deplete overstocked inventory and place new orders (Page 4, 10). - Export and domestic demand likely to recover; domestic expected to be good, exports could surprise positively (Page 10, 12). - Capacity utilizations have scope to improve: fabric by 10%, garment division expected to increase utilization from 47% to 67-77% (Page 7, 9). - Company plans to grow fabric and garment divisions as value addition is higher, with focus shifting away from yarn business (Pages 6, 12). - Launch of a new fabric brand in India planned around February next year, targeting INR 100 crores in first year (Page 5).
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Management remains optimistic about long-term growth, targeting revenue doubling in four years. - Expectation to achieve 15% EBITDA margin in the longer term, recovering from temporary margin pressures due to oversupply and yarn price drops. - Revenue mix to shift with increased focus on fabric and garment divisions, which have higher margins than yarn. - Capacity utilization improvements planned: fabric by 10%, garment by 20-30%, aiding margin enhancement. - Anticipate recovery in demand and margins in Q3 and Q4 FY24 with better order inflow, especially in fabric and garments. - Revised full-year revenue guidance is INR 1,400 to 1,450 crores, with potential upside. - Continual efforts to enhance value addition and capture market share in domestic and export markets. - Profitability expected to improve post Q2 FY24 as global and domestic demand picks up. - Temporary factors like energy cost and inventory overstocking to ease, supporting earnings improvement.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current demand is subdued due to customer overstocking across domestic and export markets. - Customers are willing to shift orders to Banswara Syntex but cannot place new orders until existing stock is depleted. - Sales are expected to pick up in Q3 and Q4 as stock levels normalize. - For garments, new big orders are expected to begin acceptance within 10-20 days from the call date (August 2023), with deliveries in Q3. - Fabric orders have seen a decline but inquiries and samplings for Q3 and Q4 look encouraging. - Overall, the company anticipates a recovery in order inflow and increased capacity utilization in the latter half of FY24. - Management remains optimistic about demand ramp-up driven by the India growth story and global shifts toward sourcing from India.