Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd

Q4 FY21 Earnings Call Analysis

Electrical Equipment

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: Nocapex: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the provided transcript from the Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited call dated February 11, 2020. - The discussion mainly revolves around operational issues, order books, receivables, cost optimization, revenue recognition, and CAPEX plans. - CAPEX expenditure for the year is expected around Rs. 350-400 crores, with plans for capacity expansion in various segments. - Discussions on managing fixed costs, employee headcount, and financial performance are present, but no direct reference to new debt or equity issuance. - Management is focused on improving cash flows, receivables, and execution challenges rather than raising external funds at this stage.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- BHEL is undertaking aggressive CAPEX projects for specialized facilities catering to ISRO, defense, railways, nuclear, and solar sectors. - Existing manufacturing equipment will be utilized along with new state-of-the-art facilities, especially for advanced ultra-supercritical power plants. - CAPEX so far in the current financial year is around Rs. 300 crores, expected to be closer to Rs. 350-400 crores. - The company is investing in integrated project management software for real-time project monitoring to improve execution. - No specific long-term CAPEX number guidance was provided, but multiple projects are underway to expand capacity and capabilities. - The management is focused on both optimizing existing facilities and adding new specialized capacities to diversify further away from traditional power equipment manufacturing.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- BHEL is focused on long-term growth with new business initiatives and diversification, including defense, railways, nuclear, and solar sectors. - The company expects ordering to improve in FY '21, supported by new government projects and the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP). - Targets include around Rs. 34,000 crores order intake for the full year; Rs. 33,000 crores revenue target aligned with the MoU, though subject to market conditions. - Emphasis on improving execution and reducing project cycle times to enhance profitability and cash flow. - Expected ramp-up in execution of existing large orders like NTPC Talcher and FGD projects. - New order wins in power (Rs. 10,775 crores), industry (Rs. 5,550 crores), and exports (Rs. 919 crores) indicate diversification. - CAPEX planned for capacity expansion and modernization to support new products and markets. - Overall expectation of gradual revenue recovery with improved market conditions and execution efficiencies.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- BHEL is focusing on transformation initiatives aimed at addressing immediate business challenges and enabling long-term sustainable growth. - New growth opportunities are being identified with support from reputed consultants, particularly emphasizing the Defence sector. - Measures to improve execution times, with integrated project management systems and pre-engineering plans, aim to reduce project cycles from 42 months to a shorter period, potentially enhancing profitability and cash flow. - Management is working on reducing fixed overhead costs to improve sustainability, especially when order books are weak. - Gross margins are under pressure due to increased material costs and pricing challenges; however, EBITDA margins have shown recent improvement (~8.6% in Q3 FY20). - Order inflows remain optimistic with Rs. 17,244 crores booked up to Q3 FY20 and continued bidding in power-related segments. - Employee retirements (~1,500-1,600 annually) may help reduce fixed costs. - Efforts in cash collection have improved by 8%, aiding liquidity. - Overall, management is optimistic about order pipeline and execution improvements to support future earnings growth.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Total order book as of December 31, 2019: Rs. 107,654 crores - Power Sector: Rs. 87,215 crores - Industry Sector: Rs. 11,710 crores - Export projects: Rs. 8,729 crores - Executable order book: Rs. 87,495 crores - Favorably placed L1 orders (not part of order book): Rs. 13,000 crores - Power sector: Rs. 10,500 crores - Industry sector: Rs. 900 crores - International: Rs. 1,900 crores - NTPC Talcher (Rs. 6,300 crores) included in the Rs. 13,000 crores L1; pending finalization expected by March 2020 - Fresh orders in current fiscal year (9 months): Rs. 6,300 crores - FGD orders: Outstanding order book approx. Rs. 9,000 crores - Current level of fresh FGD order book: Rs. 5,800 crores - Favorably placed FGD orders: Rs. 4,000 crores - Full year order intake target: Rs. 34,000 crores