Campus Activewear LtdQ3 FY24

Campus Activewear Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 218P/E: 46.3Market Cap: ₹6.9K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

No

0 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Q2FY24 saw a volume decline due to subdued demand in Northern markets and exit from some platforms (Udaan, AJIO), but inventory corrections are largely completed.
  • Normalized growth expected from Q3FY24 onwards with a positive outlook for Q3 and Q4.
  • Capacity utilization peak turnover can reach INR 2,500 crores without additional CAPEX.
  • Current manufacturing capacity is about 35 million pairs; last year sales were approximately 25 million pairs, with volumes trending similarly.
  • Focus on growing market share, especially in Western and Southern markets, which remained flat in Q2 despite poor macro conditions.
  • Eastern market growth targeted through new product categories like outdoor footwear.
  • Channel strategy blends MBO, EBO, and distribution to penetrate markets.
  • Online marketplaces (e.g. Flipkart) gaining share; market share on Flipkart rose from 5% to 8.5% during Big Billion Day sales.
  • Premiumization strategy maintained, with no current plans for lower-priced segments or athleisure expansion.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company does not provide forward-looking guidance publicly but has shared a positive outlook for Q3 and Q4 FY24.
  • They expect normalized growth and a meaningful quarter starting Q3FY24, with recovery largely in place after inventory corrections.
  • Peak turnover capacity is around INR 2,500 crores without additional CAPEX, with annual capacity of 35 million pairs and current production close to 25 million pairs.
  • Gross margins are healthy, with ambitions to maintain a high-teen to 20% margin profile, balancing growth and margin sustainability.
  • Focus remains on increasing market share across key markets (West, South, and East), supported by strong omni-channel presence, brand building, and product premiumization.
  • Initiatives in cost-saving, supply chain improvements, and channel integration are expected to positively impact profitability going forward.
  • The company sees FY24 as a transition year but remains committed to long-term value creation and market share growth.

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Fundraise plans

  • The transcript does not mention any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity.
  • The company’s net debt as of September 30, 2023, stood at INR 162 crores, a marginal increase from INR 157 crores in March 2023.
  • The net debt to EBITDA ratio is stable at 0.7 for H1 FY24 versus 0.6 in FY23, indicating controlled leverage.
  • The management has not provided any forward-looking guidance related to raising new capital.
  • Focus appears to be on recalibrating business strategies and maintaining healthy financial metrics rather than raising funds.
  • There is no explicit indication or announcement about any debt or equity fundraising in the discussed earnings call or transcript excerpt.

Order book

  • The transcript on pages 3 to 17 of the provided document does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders for the company.
  • The discussion primarily revolves around market strategy, inventory correction, channel performance, geographic focus, and sales volumes.
  • No specific figures or commentary related to order backlog or pending orders were disclosed during the Q&A session.
  • Focus areas highlighted include inventory management in certain states (UP, Bihar, Rajasthan), channel mix adjustments, and market share growth in online marketplaces.
  • The company emphasizes normalized growth expected from Q3FY24 onwards, driven by pre-orders from distributors confirmed in a Q2 distributor meet, but no exact orderbook numbers are provided.

Capex plans

No
  • The company mentioned a peak turnover capacity of INR 2,500 crores without requiring any additional CAPEX, indicating no immediate large capital expenditure plans.
  • There was no specific mention of upcoming or ongoing capital expenditures or strategic investments in the discussed sections.
  • Focus appears to be on brand building, market expansion, product premiumization, and improving distribution rather than heavy capital investments.
  • The company is emphasizing marketing investments and new product development, but these are likely operational expenses rather than capital investments.
  • They plan to continue expanding EBO stores gradually (adding 5-7 stores per month), which reflects ongoing investment in retail presence, but this does not appear to be large-scale CAPEX.
  • Any major capex or strategic investment plans were not disclosed or indicated in the provided excerpts.

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