Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd

Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Agricultural Food & other Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: Nocapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 1orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- The company currently has bank limits of ₹300 crores with HDFC Bank and ₹50 crores with PNB, mainly for short-term seasonal financing. - They have no intention of using these loans extensively and prefer operating with their own funds. - The management's vision is to avoid borrowing from banks in the future and work using their own money. - Seasonal borrowing is typical starting from November and repaid by April each year. - The interest rate on their borrowings is very low, approximately 4%. - There is no mention of any immediate or future plans for raising funds through equity or long-term debt. - CapEx plans are funded internally, with existing land and warehousing, involving only machinery investment, which is relatively low.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- CLSEL is undertaking CapEx to increase capacity, with more demand than current supply. - Three new packaging units are being installed at the Karnal factory, expected operational by January/February 2025. - These three units will add approximately ₹100 crore quarterly revenue initially. - Another new packaging unit is being set up in Gandhidham (Mundra), bringing the total new units to four. - CapEx per unit is approximately ₹1.5 to ₹2 crores, mainly for machinery; no land or infrastructure purchase as land is already owned. - Larger pack sizes manufacturing is planned at new units, targeting over ₹150 crore annual revenue from the new facility. - The company plans to continue expanding its export business through participation in international exhibitions for business development.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Trailing 12 months revenue already exceeds ₹1,500 crores; projected FY25 revenue could reach ₹1,600 crores, up from last year's ₹1,400 crores. - FY26 guidance expects revenue around ₹1,800 crores or more, based on strong order inflow, international goodwill, and presence. - New packing capacities (three units, including one at Gandhidham) expected to add approximately ₹100 crores revenue per quarter initially, potentially rising to ₹150 crores. - The company is expanding its global customer base with an emphasis on profitable small buyers worldwide. - Growth is supported by participation in major international exhibitions, promoting private label and brand products. - Domestic B2C focus is growing gradually, especially through online sales channels, while main focus remains on foreign markets. - Long-term vision aims for continuous growth by adding small, profitable customers globally and expanding order volumes.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- The company expects revenue for FY25 to reach around ₹1,500 crores, potentially going up to ₹1,600 crores due to new capacities and strong order inflows. - For FY26, management remains confident of achieving or exceeding the previous guidance of ₹1,800 crores revenue, driven by increased international presence and participation in global exhibitions. - Margins are expected to expand with aging of basmati rice inventory over 6 to 12 months, potentially reaching double-digit levels (11-12%) by FY26. - The business model focuses on growing small, profitable customers globally, ensuring steady and sustainable profit growth. - Management is aggressive in procurement to leverage lower rice prices and increase profitability, contributing positively to operating earnings. - Overall, the company aims for consistent top-line growth of 20-30% over the next few years, alongside margin expansion and operational efficiencies.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- The company currently has more demand than its own supply capacity, indicating a strong order book. - There are more orders than the company can pack monthly, showing an order backlog. - New production capacities are expected to come online in about one month's time, which will help address pending orders. - The management is aggressively procuring rice to cover existing sales and then plans to take advantageous positions based on market prices. - With ongoing participation in international exhibitions and increased international goodwill, the order inflow is expected to grow further. - The company targets revenue growth from ₹1,500 crores to potentially ₹1,600 crores in FY25, with strong confidence in meeting or exceeding this due to the robust order pipeline.