Chevron Corporation

Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Energy

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: No information
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No explicit mention of plans for new equity fundraising was noted. - Regarding debt, the CFO, Pierre Breber, mentioned the expectation for net debt to increase over time but emphasized maintaining a strong balance sheet. - The company targets a net debt ratio through the cycle of 20% to 25% and is comfortable with releveraging up to that level. - Loan repayments related to the Tengizchevroil (TCO) project will appear in investing cash flows, with expected cash returns of about $1 billion in the next year, increasing in following years. - Share buybacks and dividends remain a priority for returning surplus cash to shareholders, indicating confidence in cash flow generation without need for immediate new fundraising. - Overall, capital discipline and managing capital within means remain key focuses, with no announced plans for major new debt or equity issuance in the short term.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- 2023 capex was about 5% above budget, including $650 million for inorganic acquisitions and around $450 million in legacy projects. - 2024 capex guidance includes an estimated impact from asset sales as Chevron continues to high-grade its portfolio. - Increased capex in the Permian Basin, stepping up to about $5 billion in 2024 (vs. $4 billion in 2023) to support production growth toward a million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day. - Expectation to add a fourth frac crew around mid-2024 to improve efficiency and sustain growth in the Permian. - Capital discipline emphasized; expect to live within capital means without needing to increase Permian capex beyond $5 billion. - Significant investment ongoing in TCO (Tengizchevroil) project in Kazakhstan with commissioning and start-up activities progressing; expect start-up phases through 2024 and 2025. - Focus on advancing lower carbon businesses, including carbon capture and reduction in carbon intensity of operations.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Chevron expects 2024 production to increase by 4% to 7%, benefiting from a full year of legacy PDC operations and continued organic growth in the Permian Basin. - The company plans to build DUC (drilled but uncompleted) inventory early in the year before adding an additional completion crew mid-year to support growth. - Production in the first half of 2024 is expected to decline 2% to 4% from Q4 2023 before climbing toward a 2024 exit rate around 3.5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. - Chevron aims for production to reach approximately 1 million barrels per day in the Permian by 2025. - Affiliate dividends are expected to be around $4 billion in 2024, roughly flat with 2023, with potential growth post TCO WPMP start-up. - The company maintains capital discipline and targets to live within capital means while supporting growth.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Chevron expects 2024 production to grow by 4% to 7%, driven by a full year of legacy PDC operations and continued organic growth in the Permian. - Adjusted earnings for 2023 were $6.5 billion ($3.45/share) but decreased nearly $12 billion compared to 2022 primarily due to lower prices. - An 8% dividend increase was announced for 2024, reflecting confidence in future free cash flow growth. - Affiliate dividends for 2024 are estimated to be roughly flat at around $4 billion, with expectations of increased cash flow after TCO's WPMP startup. - Capital discipline remains a priority, with capex guidance raised slightly for 2024 but still focused on efficiency. - Chevron plans continued share buybacks within a $10-$20 billion range over the next few years, supporting shareholder returns. - The company maintains a strong balance sheet and aims to steadily grow returns across commodity cycles while managing price volatility.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

The provided transcript of Chevron's Q4 2023 earnings call does not contain specific details regarding "Current/Expected Orderbook/Pending Orders." The discussion primarily focuses on: - Production growth and guidance (4% to 7% growth expected in 2024) - Capital expenditure plans (notably $5 billion in Permian capex for 2024) - Project updates (Tengiz Chemical Offshore (TCO), WPMP-FGP) - Share buyback strategy (steady across cycles, not pro-cyclical) - Asset portfolio management including acquisitions and divestments - Operational performance and cost control No explicit metrics or commentary regarding orderbooks or pending orders are mentioned. If you need information on specific contracts or orders, it is not available in this earnings call transcript excerpt.