CIE Automotive India Ltd
Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No specific current or advanced stage fundraising through M&A or equity is mentioned.
- The company is actively looking for M&A opportunities in India, particularly to add customers and new business segments.
- They will only pursue M&A if it is deemed appropriate, not just because of available cash.
- No mention of new debt fundraising or equity issuance in the provided content.
- Interest costs in Europe have increased due to higher interest rates, but no plans mentioned for new debt.
- The company is managing cash and debt considering cost of borrowing and cash pooling arbitrage.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- India business has been making growth capex of about Rs. 200 to 250 Crores per year for the last 2-3 years, with similar plans for the near future.
- Investments are made against committed orders, though some ramp-ups have been delayed but expected to happen.
- New and expansion capex examples include:
- New plant at CIE Hosur.
- Expansion in the aluminum EV four-wheeler space.
- Investments in Mahindra’s EV new models.
- New tractor models from Mahindra.
- Strategic investments/M&A approach:
- Actively looking for M&A opportunities in India, especially to add customers and new business segments like aluminum and four-wheelers.
- No advanced M&A deals in the pipeline currently.
- M&A will be pursued only if appropriate and value-accretive, not just because of available cash.
- Cash balance expected to be around Rs. 500 Crores by year-end, with no immediate plans disclosed for debt repayment or other strategic capital deployment.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- India aims to grow sales approximately 5% or more above the weighted average market growth in the medium term (2-3 years).
- New project ramp-ups delayed but expected to drive better growth results once they start, especially in aluminum EVs, four-wheelers, and tractors.
- The company targets growth across almost every vertical in India with continued investments and expansion.
- Europe expects flat or slight declines in car production, but plans to outperform the market through new orders, especially in electric vehicles.
- Electric vehicle-related orders comprise a significant portion of new projects (74% in Europe, 10% in India) with ramp-ups expected over the next 1-2 years.
- Two-wheeler exports have dipped but domestic demand is picking up; festive seasons are expected to boost sales.
- Metalcastello in the US facing cyclical slowdown with a 15-20% drop expected but new EV orders are anticipated to compensate in the near future.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- The company expects to achieve the highest PAT in its history in calendar year 2023, with recurring PAT growth of 20% year-to-date (YTD), excluding onetime profits.
- Margin improvement is viewed as a "never ending story" with identified gaps and ongoing projects aimed at further efficiency gains, particularly in India.
- Growth capex of about Rs. 500-750 Crores has been committed with expected ramp-ups in new projects, especially in electric vehicle (EV) segments and new customer orders, although some ramp-ups have been delayed.
- The company aims to grow at least 5-6% higher than the weighted average market growth in India over the medium term (2-3 years).
- European operations expect recovery and improved results in 2024, particularly from EV orders and stabilization of power costs, supporting earnings growth.
- Ongoing efficiency improvements and new project ramp-ups are expected to contribute to future margin and profit growth.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- In India, CIE Automotive has been investing significantly with growth capex averaging ₹200-250 Crores annually, supported by committed orders.
- The company has new plants and expansions, such as the aluminum EV four-wheeler plant at Hosur.
- Several new model ramp-ups, including Mahindra’s EVs and new tractor models, are underway but have experienced some delays.
- Approximately 50 customers in India have sales exceeding ₹10 million per annum, with around half added in the last 2-3 years, indicating ongoing customer addition as a key growth strategy.
- In Europe, 74% of new orders this year are for electric vehicles, reflecting alignment with market trends.
- Metalcastello expects order recoveries for US light trucks and EV programs, with around $28-30 million in orders in the passenger vehicle vertical.
- Delays in customer new EV orders ramp-up are noted but expected to commence and provide growth from 2024 onwards.
