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CL Educate LtdQ4 FY24

CL Educate Ltd

Q4 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • CL Educate has shown strong revenue growth, with nine-month revenues up ~42% (Rs. 160 crores to Rs. 227 crores).
  • EdTech business's total billing grew 34%, with average volumes up ~8% and ARPU up 26%, indicating growth in both pricing and customer base.
  • The company is adding new centers steadily (54 new centers added in nine months), aligning with a goal of 450-500 centers by March 2025.
  • CUET-related enrollments are expected to increase, with registrations projected to grow from 14 lakhs to 20-25 lakhs, and exam takers from 10 lakhs to 15-17 lakhs.
  • Virtual events platform (VEP) revenues may scale up as hybrid and DIY versions gain traction.
  • MarTech business growth may accelerate as new markets like Indonesia launch and physical events increase.
  • Investments in marketing, technology, and people continue to support growth, with EBITDA expected to expand over the next four quarters.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company saw a 42-44% revenue growth year-on-year over nine months, with EBITDA growth around 24-34% in Q3 and nine months respectively.
  • EBITDA growth is currently slightly lagging revenue growth due to investments in marketing, people, and technology, and margin compression from transitioning back to physical delivery.
  • Management expects EBITDA growth to mirror revenue growth over the next four quarters.
  • EPS grew by about 125% and PAT (Total Comprehensive Income) increased by around 140% for the nine months ending December 2022.
  • Return on Capital Employed (RoCE) and Return on Equity (RoE) have improved significantly, with EdTech RoCE at 13% (up from 6%) and EdTech RoE at 9% (up from 4%), aiming for 14-15% over the coming quarters.
  • Margins in MarTech are expected to expand in forthcoming quarters.
  • Overall, management is cautiously optimistic about sustained growth and margin improvement going forward.

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Fundraise plans

  • The transcript does not mention any current or immediate plans for new fundraising through debt or equity.
  • The company has significantly cut down its debt compared to last year, with current CC limit utilization close to Rs. 4 crores.
  • It holds around Rs. 94 crores of cash in investments and mutual funds.
  • Management prefers to maintain a low utilization of the CC limit to keep good long-term banking relationships but would ideally prefer to be a zero-debt company.
  • There is no definite timeline or roadmap provided for raising funds via corporate actions like equity.
  • Corporate actions, including potential rewards to shareholders, will happen at an appropriate stage in the coming years but no specific fundraising plans were disclosed.

Order book

Yes
  • The pipeline for new center additions and enrollments looks reasonably good and healthy, though short-term fluctuations occur due to holidays like Diwali and Christmas.
  • There isn't precise predictability month-to-month or quarter-to-quarter, but management tracks milestones over 1, 2, and 3 years.
  • For VOSMOS and virtual platforms, initial orders such as the $35,000-$40,000 order for futuristic Muscat city have been received.
  • Discussions and engagements ongoing especially after events like CES Vegas and GITEX Dubai, indicating potential for more orders in the next 2-4 quarters.
  • Physical events and new customer sign-ups are increasing steadily, especially in APAC regions like Singapore and soon Indonesia operations starting.
  • Overall, the order book is building gradually with expected momentum and growth aligned to strategic goals over the coming years.

Capex plans

Yes
  • CL Educate is making significant investments in technology and product development, especially in the MarTech vertical, including the VOSMOS virtual platform and metaverse/meta-commerce solutions.
  • They have been proactively investing in marketing, people, and technology to gain market share and expand offerings.
  • The company is investing in the launch of operations in Indonesia within the next two weeks, indicating geographic expansion capex.
  • Future tech-related investments are expected, particularly in the VOSMOS metaverse platform, which is still early-stage but projected to grow steeply once it gains adoption.
  • No specific timelines or detailed figures for capital expenditures or strategic investments were provided.
  • The management emphasizes cautious value creation for shareholders and indicated that corporate actions, including investments, will happen at appropriate stages.

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