CMS Info Systems LtdQ1 FY24
CMS Info Systems Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹296P/E: 16.1Market Cap: ₹5.0K CrSector: Commercial Services & Supplies
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
Yes
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →CMS Info Systems aims to achieve 2x revenue growth from FY21 to FY25, targeting Rs. 2,500 to Rs. 2,700 crores in revenue.
- →The company expects Retail Cash solutions to grow substantially higher than other segments over the next three years.
- →Their AIoT remote monitoring business is poised to double in scale over the next three years.
- →Integrated Managed Services solutions, including software and fixed price contracts, are building out strongly.
- →Cash Logistics business projected to grow at a midterm CAGR of 10%-13%.
- →Managed Services to grow faster than cash business; overall strong growth across both segments anticipated.
- →The opportunity size (TAM) is approximately Rs. 22,000 crores by FY27, providing significant headroom for growth.
- →Order wins have increased from INR 900 crores in FY23 to INR 1,850 crores in FY24, indicating strong order momentum.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →CMS Info Systems targets a revenue of Rs. 2,500 - 2,700 crores in FY25, aiming to maintain upper-end confidence.
- →PAT growth has been consistently above 20% YoY for five consecutive years, with a 23% growth in the latest year despite incremental investments.
- →Operating margins have improved from 17-18% (pre-COVID) to over 25% currently, expected to remain stable.
- →Incremental ESOP costs are forecasted to reduce gradually quarterly from Rs. 10 crore to Rs. 3 crore.
- →New business incubations and investments may temporarily impact margins but are managed to avoid significant losses.
- →Order wins doubled to Rs. 1,850 crores in FY24 with revenues spread over 5-7 years, supporting sustainable growth.
- →Mid-term cash logistics business growth projected at 10-13% CAGR; managed services expected to outpace this.
- →Focus on market share, revenue growth, and balancing margins continues to be the strategy.
- →ROCE improved to 27.4%, reflecting strong capital efficiency and profitability.
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Fundraise plans
- →Rajiv Kaul mentioned that the company is working on inorganic opportunities, including potential M&A deals, but did not provide any specific timelines or certainty about closures.
- →No explicit mention was made about any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the provided text.
- →The company focuses on deploying capital efficiently, generating high returns on capital, and reinvesting earnings into growth and new businesses.
- →ESOP costs will gradually reduce over time, indicating no immediate large equity dilution planned.
- →Overall, no direct guidance or announcement related to new fundraising via debt or equity was given in the discussed sections.
Order book
Yes- →FY23 order wins: approx. INR 900 crores.
- →FY24 order wins: approx. INR 1,850 crores, nearly doubling from previous year.
- →Most of FY24 order wins will be deployed in FY25 with revenues spread over 5-7 years.
- →Company aims to maintain healthy order win ratio to build annuity business aligned with growth targets.
- →Order book includes about two-thirds requiring capital deployment with varied payback periods.
- →Transaction-linked brown label ATM (BLA) business forms less than 25% of order book, with high capital returns focus.
- →Market share gains in ATM Cash segment from 39% to 49% over last four years indicate growing order book strength.
- →Management cautious about predicting exact order book growth given market and bidding uncertainties.
Capex plans
Yes- →FY24 CAPEX was Rs. 99 crore, down from prior years due to project delays and deferred order placements.
- →FY25 CAPEX expected to be higher to compensate for under-spend in FY24, targeting around Rs. 200 crore annually on average.
- →Capital deployment mainly linked to order book; about two-thirds of the order book requires capital investment.
- →CMS focuses on high-return capital deployment, cautious about transaction-linked BLA ATM business due to lower returns.
- →Strategic investments include incubating new businesses in specialized logistics and collection services, with incremental operating costs of Rs. 8-10 crore.
- →The company is working on inorganic growth via M&A and partnerships, with several opportunities actively pursued but timing uncertain.
- →Investment continues in technology upgrades such as AIoT remote monitoring solutions and network compliance expansion.
- →CMS aims to maintain high ROCE while investing to support growth and new business lines.
How does CMS Info Systems Ltd rank vs peers in Commercial Services & Supplies?
Pro feature1CMS Info Systems Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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