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CMS Info Systems LtdQ1 FY24

CMS Info Systems Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 296P/E: 16.1Market Cap: ₹5.0K CrSector: Commercial Services & Supplies

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • CMS Info Systems aims to achieve 2x revenue growth from FY21 to FY25, targeting Rs. 2,500 to Rs. 2,700 crores in revenue.
  • The company expects Retail Cash solutions to grow substantially higher than other segments over the next three years.
  • Their AIoT remote monitoring business is poised to double in scale over the next three years.
  • Integrated Managed Services solutions, including software and fixed price contracts, are building out strongly.
  • Cash Logistics business projected to grow at a midterm CAGR of 10%-13%.
  • Managed Services to grow faster than cash business; overall strong growth across both segments anticipated.
  • The opportunity size (TAM) is approximately Rs. 22,000 crores by FY27, providing significant headroom for growth.
  • Order wins have increased from INR 900 crores in FY23 to INR 1,850 crores in FY24, indicating strong order momentum.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • CMS Info Systems targets a revenue of Rs. 2,500 - 2,700 crores in FY25, aiming to maintain upper-end confidence.
  • PAT growth has been consistently above 20% YoY for five consecutive years, with a 23% growth in the latest year despite incremental investments.
  • Operating margins have improved from 17-18% (pre-COVID) to over 25% currently, expected to remain stable.
  • Incremental ESOP costs are forecasted to reduce gradually quarterly from Rs. 10 crore to Rs. 3 crore.
  • New business incubations and investments may temporarily impact margins but are managed to avoid significant losses.
  • Order wins doubled to Rs. 1,850 crores in FY24 with revenues spread over 5-7 years, supporting sustainable growth.
  • Mid-term cash logistics business growth projected at 10-13% CAGR; managed services expected to outpace this.
  • Focus on market share, revenue growth, and balancing margins continues to be the strategy.
  • ROCE improved to 27.4%, reflecting strong capital efficiency and profitability.

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Fundraise plans

  • Rajiv Kaul mentioned that the company is working on inorganic opportunities, including potential M&A deals, but did not provide any specific timelines or certainty about closures.
  • No explicit mention was made about any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the provided text.
  • The company focuses on deploying capital efficiently, generating high returns on capital, and reinvesting earnings into growth and new businesses.
  • ESOP costs will gradually reduce over time, indicating no immediate large equity dilution planned.
  • Overall, no direct guidance or announcement related to new fundraising via debt or equity was given in the discussed sections.

Order book

Yes
  • FY23 order wins: approx. INR 900 crores.
  • FY24 order wins: approx. INR 1,850 crores, nearly doubling from previous year.
  • Most of FY24 order wins will be deployed in FY25 with revenues spread over 5-7 years.
  • Company aims to maintain healthy order win ratio to build annuity business aligned with growth targets.
  • Order book includes about two-thirds requiring capital deployment with varied payback periods.
  • Transaction-linked brown label ATM (BLA) business forms less than 25% of order book, with high capital returns focus.
  • Market share gains in ATM Cash segment from 39% to 49% over last four years indicate growing order book strength.
  • Management cautious about predicting exact order book growth given market and bidding uncertainties.

Capex plans

Yes
  • FY24 CAPEX was Rs. 99 crore, down from prior years due to project delays and deferred order placements.
  • FY25 CAPEX expected to be higher to compensate for under-spend in FY24, targeting around Rs. 200 crore annually on average.
  • Capital deployment mainly linked to order book; about two-thirds of the order book requires capital investment.
  • CMS focuses on high-return capital deployment, cautious about transaction-linked BLA ATM business due to lower returns.
  • Strategic investments include incubating new businesses in specialized logistics and collection services, with incremental operating costs of Rs. 8-10 crore.
  • The company is working on inorganic growth via M&A and partnerships, with several opportunities actively pursued but timing uncertain.
  • Investment continues in technology upgrades such as AIoT remote monitoring solutions and network compliance expansion.
  • CMS aims to maintain high ROCE while investing to support growth and new business lines.

How does CMS Info Systems Ltd rank vs peers in Commercial Services & Supplies?

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1CMS Info Systems Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3

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