Cosmo First LtdQ2 FY23
Cosmo First Ltd Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹822P/E: 13.7Market Cap: ₹2.0K CrSector: Industrial Products
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
Yes
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
2 of 4 growth signals are positive.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Specialty films portfolio expected to continue delivering superior returns despite near-term challenges in BOPP and BOPET segments.
- →Specialty chemicals division aims to double its revenue in the coming years.
- →Zigly pet care business is rapidly growing with month-on-month increasing sales, targeting profitability within two years (2025-2026).
- →BOPP volumes are already growing due to new line additions; revenue growth expected as raw material prices stabilize and rise.
- →Specialty sales, after a recent slowdown, are showing signs of recovery and expected to grow again in the near term.
- →New capacity expansions (e.g., specialty polyester films like shrink label and sun shield) will further strengthen margins and revenue.
- →Inventory losses due to raw material price fluctuations are expected to stabilize, possibly aiding revenue growth.
- →Overall, the company anticipates volume and revenue growth with improved margins over the next few quarters and years.
Margin guidance
Category 3- →Specialty films portfolio expected to deliver superior returns despite near-term challenges in BOPP and BOPET segments.
- →Specialty chemicals division projected to double its revenue over the coming years.
- →Zigly (pet care business) showing rapid revenue growth; expected to become profitable in 2 years (2025-2026).
- →BOPET segment currently under margin pressure due to oversupply; EBITDA breakeven anticipated within 1-1.5 years.
- →Cost rationalization initiatives underway, targeting Rs. 50-60 Cr annualized savings, largely from renewable power and raw material savings, phasing benefits starting Q2 FY24.
- →New capacity additions (BOPP and CPP lines) to increase production by 45-50% by March 2025, supporting growth and improving margins.
- →Promoters optimistic about unlocking significant value in next 4-5 years, reflected in recent promoter stake increase.
- →Overall, positive outlook for gradual margin recovery and higher volumes, with focus on innovative specialty products and expansion driving future earnings growth.
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Fundraise plans
Yes- →As of June 2023, Cosmo First Ltd's net debt stood at approximately Rs. 450 Cr.
- →The company plans incremental CAPEX of around Rs. 400-Rs. 450 Cr over the next two years.
- →A large part of this CAPEX is expected to be funded from internal accruals.
- →Overall debt may increase to some extent, depending on profitability over the coming years.
- →No explicit mention of new equity fundraising was made during the call.
- →Promoters have recently increased their stake, indicating confidence, but this pertains to equity holding, not fresh equity issuance.
- →Management's focus appears to be on leveraging internal funds and possibly some debt increase, with no formal announcement of new fundraising at this stage.
Order book
- →The transcript provided does not specifically mention details about the current or expected order book or pending orders for Cosmo First Ltd.
- →However, management indicated that specialty film sales showed improvement with better specialty sales and an increase in specialty volume to about 65% of total BOPP volume.
- →They highlighted ongoing growth in Zigly (pet care segment) with monthly sales increasing, though this segment is currently EBITDA negative.
- →There is a focus on continued capacity expansion projects for BOPP and CPP lines, expected to increase production capacity by 45%-50% by March 2025, indicating positive order inflows or expected demand.
- →The company expects demand supply balance in BOPP to improve in coming quarters, signaling improving order traction.
- →Specialty chemicals division is in growth mode with expected doubling of revenues in future years.
- →Overall, the outlook suggests a gradual ramp-up in orders with focus on specialty films and new business lines, but exact order book details were not disclosed.
Capex plans
Yes- →Total CAPEX for specialized BOPET line is Rs. 450 Cr; Rs. 100 Cr of this is for value-added section.
- →Capacity of specialized BOPET line is close to 30,000 tonnes; most came online last year, balance with window film line this year.
- →Incremental CAPEX over next two years is Rs. 400-450 Cr, mostly funded from internal accruals; debt may increase from Rs. 450 Cr currently.
- →Recent Rs. 55 Cr CAPEX allocated for Sun Shield and Rs. 32 Cr for second capacitor; window film CAPEX also ongoing.
- →BOPP and CPP lines under construction will increase production capacity by 45-50% by March 2025; expected 3-5% cost rationalization.
- →Specialty chemicals division investing in R&D and innovation; Adhesive product commercialization expected within 3 months.
- →Ongoing cost specialization and R&D projects in films business to sustain competitive edge.
How does Cosmo First Ltd rank vs peers in Industrial Products?
Pro feature1Cosmo First Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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