Cosmo First LtdQ1 FY25

Cosmo First Ltd Q1 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 913P/E: 14.9Market Cap: ₹2.4K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • Proposed BOPP line and CPP line commercialization expected to generate an additional ~Rs. 1000 crore in revenue.
  • New verticals like capacitor metallizer, rigid packaging, and specialty chemicals may add close to Rs. 200 crore more.
  • Specialty film focus planned to increase to 80% of sales, aiming for high-margin, high-end specialty products.
  • Rigid packaging capacity expected to reach ~80% utilization by second half of FY25, targeting Rs. 125 crore in sales at full capacity.
  • Zigly (pet care business) plans to increase stores from 23 to 40 in the current year, with a GMV expected to exceed Rs. 100 crore two years down the line.
  • Specialty chemicals and capacitor metallizer along with rigid packaging expected to contribute decent EBITDA in FY25.
  • Near-term challenges anticipated in BOPET film sales.
  • Higher cost rationalization efforts ongoing to boost margins and profitability.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • Q1 FY25 BOPP margins expected to remain steady, in line with March 2024 levels.
  • Focus on cost rationalization in FY25, including power cost savings (~Rs. 25 crore annual impact) and thermal line shift from Korea to India.
  • Specialty film sales to increase, with high-margin speciality and high shrink films targeted.
  • New verticals like Specialty Chemicals, capacitor metallizer, and rigid packaging projected to generate decent EBITDA in FY25; Specialty Chemicals expected to achieve double-digit EBITDA and >20% ROCE.
  • Zigly (pet care business) expected to take time to become profitable; FY25 investment of Rs. 30-35 crore with EBITDA losses similar to FY24’s Rs. 24 crore.
  • Post FY25 capex, net debt expected to stabilize (~Rs. 550-600 crore) with reduction anticipated from FY26 onwards.
  • Overall, growth driven by high-margin specialty products, cost rationalization, and new business verticals, with improved profitability prospects over medium term.

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Fundraise plans

  • No definite plans for private equity infusion have been ascertained at this stage for expansion (Page 6).
  • The company does not indicate any immediate plans for new equity fundraising.
  • Current net debt stands at around Rs. 550-561 crores, with expected minor increase of Rs. 20-50 crores by end of FY25 due to ongoing CAPEX (Page 7).
  • Total planned CAPEX is about Rs. 300-350 crores in FY25, largely towards BOPP production lines, with no further CAPEX planned after that (Page 7).
  • Debt repayment of Rs. 180 crores is scheduled for next year (FY25), and the company expects no concern in repaying this (Page 11).
  • Post completion of CAPEX, the balance sheet is expected to remain very strong (Page 11).
  • Overall, no explicit announcement of fresh fundraising through debt or equity in the near future.

Order book

  • Management did not explicitly mention the current orderbook or pending orders size in the call.
  • However, they indicated that orders from a high-margin Specialty export customer, which were previously uneven, have now been received starting Q1 FY25.
  • The company highlighted focus on ramping up Speciality films, including new launches like sun control film.
  • Capacity utilizations, especially in rigid packaging, are increasing month-on-month, with expectations to reach 80% utilization in H2 FY25.
  • Expansion plans (BOPP line and CPP line) anticipate generating additional revenues (~Rs. 1000 crore plus Rs. 200 crore from new verticals).
  • The company is also commercializing R&D developed dyed film technology, which reflects a pipeline of new product orders.
  • Overall, management focused more on capacity utilization and commercialization than providing specific pending orderbook numbers.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Planned CAPEX of Rs. 300-350 crore in FY25, largely focused on BOPP production line expansion.
  • Total CAPEX planned close to Rs. 1000 crore, with Rs. 650-700 crore already spent; the remaining Rs. 300-350 crore will complete the program.
  • New BOPP and CPP lines expected to generate approximately Rs. 1000 crore additional revenue.
  • Additional Rs. 200 crore revenue anticipated from new verticals like capacitor metallizer, rigid packaging, and speciality chemicals.
  • Zigly (pet care business) to invest Rs. 30-35 crore in FY25, with business scaling planned.
  • Pet care business being organized as a separate subsidiary; further investment or external funding is unconfirmed.
  • Cost rationalization efforts include shifting thermal line from Korea to India and waste aging rationalization.

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