Craftsman Automation Ltd
Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Auto Components
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 3margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
💰fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- No new equity has been raised currently, including for the acquisition of DR Axion, which resulted in an increase in debt on the books.
- Current debt has increased due to a Rs. 375 crores outflow for the DR Axion acquisition.
- The company maintains a targeted debt-to-EBITDA ratio around 1.5x and is currently at 1.49x consolidated.
- There is a planned CAPEX increase due to new Greenfield projects and expansion in Powertrain and Aluminum segments, leading to a potential increase in absolute debt levels.
- Total CAPEX for FY24 may rise from the earlier Rs. 330 crores to around Rs. 480 crores including new plant investments, partly funded with debt.
- The company expects debt to EBITDA ratio to trend down over time despite absolute debt fluctuations.
- No specific mention of imminent equity fundraising; focus remains on managing debt prudently.
🏗️capex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Currently planned CAPEX for the financial year is around Rs. 320 crores for existing plants.
- Additional CAPEX of approximately Rs. 150-160 crores this year for a new Greenfield plant near the mother plant in Coimbatore (land bank of 48 acres).
- Further CAPEX of around Rs. 100 crores expected in FY26 for the Greenfield project.
- Total CAPEX including Greenfield project will be close to Rs. 480 crores.
- The Greenfield plant will house all three business segments, mainly Powertrain and Aluminum.
- CAPEX driven by large opportunities in Powertrain and Aluminum segments due to geopolitical factors and Make in India policies.
- Focus on backward integration in some segments to reduce imports and increase value addition.
📊revenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- Powertrain segment expected to grow at a CAGR of 15%-20% from FY21 to FY26, with significant growth anticipated from FY26 onwards, especially due to new off-highway and heavier commercial vehicle segments.
- Aluminum segment to continue strong growth beyond FY26, backed by expanding capacity and new orders including Hyundai-Kia and Stellantis ramp-ups.
- DR Axion's Aluminum business showing strong growth with upcoming orders expected from FY25 with the new Telangana plant.
- Powertrain export opportunities to materialize from FY26 after a higher validation cycle.
- New Greenfield plant planned with Rs. 150-160 crores CAPEX in current year and Rs. 100 crores in FY26 to support capacity expansion across all three business segments.
- Industrial Engineering segment, especially automated storage solutions, expected to see strong growth in H2 and beyond, with robust pending order book.
- Overall company expects balanced diversification and sustainable margins with growth driven by geopolitical factors and "Make in India" policies reducing imports.
📈margin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Powertrain business is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15%-20% from FY21 to FY26, with bigger growth anticipated from FY26 onwards.
- Aluminum segment growth is set to continue strongly beyond FY26, with DR Axion ramping up new orders.
- Operating leverage and capacity utilization improvements will help margins sustain despite recent pressures.
- Margin sustainability in Aluminum segment targeting around 15% EBIT and 18%-20% EBITDA.
- New Greenfield project CAPEX (~Rs. 150-160 crores this year, another Rs. 100 crores in FY26) to support expansion across all segments, particularly Powertrain and Aluminum.
- Export opportunities in Powertrain expected to materialize by FY26 after validation cycles.
- Debt-to-EBITDA ratio targeted to hover around 1.5x, with planned debt discipline despite expansion.
- Growth in Industrial Engineering expected as CAPEX cycles and automation orders increase.
📋orderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company currently has an order book close to Rs. 100 crores specifically for automated storage solutions.
- Within this order book, two orders exceed Rs. 20 crores, and one large order is close to Rs. 50 crores.
- These reflect growing acceptance and maturity in the automated storage solution market.
- Additionally, the company is on a ramp-up phase for the Stellantis aluminum die-casting export order, expected to peak by the September quarter of next year.
- The ramp-up run rate for H2 standalone aluminum business is approximately Rs. 500 crores.
- Expanding capacities with a new Greenfield project will add around Rs. 150-160 crores CAPEX this year and Rs. 100 crores in FY26, targeting Powertrain and Aluminum segments.
- The pending orders and ongoing ramp-ups position the company well for growth through FY25 and FY26.
