Cupid LtdQ4 FY23
Cupid Ltd Q4 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Price: ₹183P/E: 149.5Market Cap: ₹16.2K CrSector: Personal Products
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
No
Capex
Yes
1 of 4 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- →Cupid Limited projects a top-line revenue of about Rs. 170 crore for FY23, showing recovery and growth from FY22 levels.
- →Female condom sales are expected to increase significantly, contributing to higher margins and overall profitability.
- →The company aims for a profit after tax of at least Rs. 20 crore in FY23, an improvement over the Rs. 16-17 crore expected in FY22.
- →New manufacturing facility at Nasik expected to start commercial production by April 2022, producing about 9 products including male condoms, female condoms, lubricant jelly, and IVD products.
- →Capacity utilization for male condoms is near 98-100%, indicating strong demand.
- →The company expects gradual growth in the IVD business after regulatory approvals, though precise volume forecasts are yet uncertain.
- →South African government orders (approx. Rs. 100 crore annually) and tender wins in Tanzania (Rs. 75 crore) are expected to drive volume growth.
- →Emphasis on high-margin products and exports for sustained revenue improvement.
Margin guidance
Category 3- FY22 projected net profit is around ₹16-17 crore, with Q3 net profit at ₹13 crore (Page 11).
- FY23 guidance projects top line (revenue) around ₹170 crore and a minimum PAT (profit after tax) of ₹20 crore (Pages 6, 14).
- FY23 profit outlook considers a gradual increase in female condom sales, which are high-margin products, helping improve the bottom line (Pages 5, 11, 14).
- Operating profits likely to be lower than FY20 due to product mix changes and higher input costs but expected to improve in FY23 (Pages 5, 14).
- EPS growth expected moderately post share buyback (under consideration) which may improve EPS despite flat absolute profits (Page 6).
- IVD business expected to break even starting FY23, with commercial production beginning April 2022 (Pages 7, 8).
Overall, cautious optimism on earnings improvement with focus on high-margin products and new facility utilization.
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Fundraise plans
- →There is no mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the Q3 FY22 earnings call transcript.
- →The company has about ₹72 crores in cash including mutual funds, FDs, and bank balances.
- →The board is considering a share buyback program but is also evaluating working capital needs for the IVD division before making a final decision.
- →Capital expenditure for the new IVD division is mostly complete with around ₹10 crores spent.
- →No new funding plans through issuance of equity or debt have been disclosed.
Order book
No- →Current order book is ₹141 crore, which includes the ₹100 crore annual order from South African government.
- →The South African order is for three years, extending up to January 2025.
- →Out of this ₹100 crore order, ₹70 crore is for female condoms.
- →Additional orders include about ₹30 to 40 crore expected from UNFPA, split roughly 60% male condoms and 30-40% female condoms, timings and quantities vary.
- →Tanzania tender order expected to be about ₹75 crore, with final decision in March.
- →Brazil tender expected around April 2022, but final quantities unclear due to national elections.
- →No confirmed orders yet for IVD business as manufacturing licenses are pending approval.
- →Management expects gradual increase in order book and sales in FY22 and FY23, especially with the new Nasik facility becoming operational.
Capex plans
Yes- →Cupid Limited has completed its new manufacturing facility at Nasik, with regulatory approvals (ICMR and Drug Controller of India) expected by end of March 2022.
- →The Nasik facility focuses on manufacturing 9 products including male condoms, female condoms, lubricant jelly, and IVD products.
- →Capital expenditure (CAPEX) for the IVD division is mostly complete, with about ₹8 crore spent and an additional ₹2 crore anticipated, totaling ₹10 crore.
- →No current or future large CAPEX beyond this has been specified; the company is cautious with working capital requirements for the IVD business.
- →The management is considering strategic options like a share buyback but is awaiting clearer working capital estimates for the IVD segment before final decisions.
How does Cupid Ltd rank vs peers in Personal Products?
Pro feature1Cupid Ltd
Rev 3Mar 3
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