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DDev Plastiks Industries LtdQ3 FY24

DDev Plastiks Industries Ltd Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 272P/E: 12.6Market Cap: ₹2.5K CrSector: Chemicals & Petrochemicals

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

N/A

Capex

Yes

1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets a volume CAGR of approximately 12% for the next two to three years, supported by strong market demand.
  • Volume guidance for FY'25 is around 1,86,000 to 1,87,000 tons, with 91,000 tons achieved in H1 and about 95,000 tons expected in H2.
  • While export volumes have faced headwinds due to high freight rates and margin pressures, strong domestic demand is expected to offset export losses, maintaining overall volume growth.
  • The export mix is expected to remain between 22% to 26%, with the domestic share around 72% to 75%.
  • Revenues may reflect fluctuations due to raw material price changes, with realizations per ton expected to stabilize from Q2 onwards, supporting revenue growth in H2 and beyond.
  • The company aims to exceed its earlier commitment of achieving Rs. 5,000 crore turnover by 2030 with 10%-12% profit margins.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets a 12% CAGR volume growth over the next 2-3 years, supported by strong market demand.
  • Operating EBITDA per ton is expected to be maintained in the range of Rs. 14,000 to Rs. 15,000 in the medium term.
  • Management expects EBITDA margins to remain around 10-12%, with profits rising in line with volume growth.
  • Despite challenges in export volumes due to high freight rates, strong domestic demand is expected to offset this.
  • Revenue growth may fluctuate due to raw material price variation, but steady EBITDA per ton is anticipated.
  • By FY 2030, the company aims for a turnover of Rs. 5,000 crore with EBITDA margins of 10-12%.
  • No specific guidance on EPS, but profitable growth is strongly indicated given margin and volume targets.
  • Bonus shares possibility is under consideration but not currently committed.

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Fundraise plans

  • No specific mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity in the call.
  • All capital expenditure and capacity expansion plans are stated to be funded through internal accruals only.
  • Management confirmed that capital work-in-progress (CWIP) and commitments for ongoing and upcoming expansion will be met from internal resources.
  • The company maintains a net debt-free status as of the last quarter of FY24 and into the current financial year.
  • No plans for issuing bonus shares or other equity fund-raising are currently under consideration; any such thought process would be communicated in the future.
  • Management emphasizes focus on utilizing internal funds for expansion and maintaining financial prudence without external borrowings at this stage.

Order book

  • The transcript does not explicitly mention the current or expected order book or pending orders in precise figures.
  • Management indicated having orders in hand for inventory, specifically mentioning inventory worth about ₹35-36 crore corresponding to less than 3-4 days of sales.
  • There is a general positive outlook on demand, with strong domestic demand expected to offset export challenges.
  • Approvals and capacity utilization expansions, especially in new products like HFFR and XLPE, suggest a growing order intake pipeline.
  • The company is working on new product launches (e.g., 132 kV cables), but timing depends on customer trials and market acceptance.
  • Management committed to responding with precise figures on volume drop and export losses after further checking.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company has committed close to ₹50 crore CAPEX for the current financial year (FY 2024-25).
  • Additional CAPEX commitments of around ₹40-60 crore are expected in the current financial year as well, mostly as commitments rather than actual outlay.
  • Over the next two years, the company plans to invest another ₹100-150 crore for capacity expansion.
  • Capacity additions targeted: 25,000 tons of XLPE from FY 2025 to 2027 and 15,000 tons of HFFR over the same period.
  • Land acquisition completed in Bhilad near Vapi for a new greenfield plant; construction and machine orders are pending.
  • New XLPE capacity expected to come online in the first half of FY 2026.
  • The Bhilad plant launch timeline is pending, with construction to start after land acquisition formalities.
  • All CAPEX funding is expected to be through internal accruals.

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