DDev Plastiks Industries LtdQ4 FY25

DDev Plastiks Industries Ltd Q4 FY25 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 277P/E: 14.8Market Cap: ₹3.0K Cr

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 3

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets a 15% CAGR volume growth going forward.
  • For FY25, the volume target is 185,000 tons with an EBITDA guidance of Rs. 15 per kg.
  • Export market challenges due to freight issues are easing, expected to improve exports next year.
  • Local demand remains strong, especially in renewable energy and private sector electricity distribution.
  • Private players like Tata Power, Torrent Power, Adani, and Reliance are ramping up power distribution capacity, driving cable demand.
  • Capacity expansion plans include adding 45,000 tons of HFFR and PE compounds and 12,000-15,000 tons of PVC compounds over the next 2-2.5 years.
  • Total CAPEX of Rs. 500 crores planned over 4-5 years to achieve turnover of Rs. 4,500 to 5,000 crores by 2030.
  • Strong outlook on increasing volumes supported by efficiencies and expansion initiatives at new and existing sites.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • The company targets a 15% CAGR volume growth for the upcoming years, focusing on both local and export markets.
  • Export performance is expected to improve next year due to eased sea freight issues.
  • EBITDA per kg guidance is around Rs. 15 to Rs. 15.5, indicating disciplined financial and operational performance.
  • Capacity expansions including HFFR, PE, and PVC compounds are underway with allocated CAPEX of Rs. 200-300 crores over the next 2-2.5 years, and another Rs. 250-300 crores by FY30.
  • The company expects revenue to reach Rs. 4,500 to 5,000 crores by 2030 with CAPEX-driven growth.
  • Strong demand from private sector electricity distribution and renewable energy sectors supports robust future volume and earnings growth.
  • Despite current challenges, cable industry demand remains strong with fully booked capacities.
  • Overall, management is confident of sustained multiyear expansion, profitability improvement, and steady EPS growth.

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Fundraise plans

  • The company has planned CAPEX of around Rs. 200 to 300 crores in the next 2 to 2.5 years for expanding capacities (Page 15).
  • Another Rs. 250 to 300 crores of CAPEX will be required by FY30 to achieve the targeted revenue of Rs. 4,500 to 5,000 crores (Page 15).
  • No explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity was made in the available transcript.
  • Interest costs have been discussed, with finance costs expected to remain within Rs. 5 crores per quarter and some spikes due to processing fees but no indication of fresh debt raising (Page 16).
  • The company is focusing on incremental capacity expansions funded through internal accruals or planned investments, but no specific details on fundraising mode or amounts were disclosed.

Order book

Yes
  • The company has a one-to-one correlation between orders and raw material inventory, meaning they hold inventory directly tied to confirmed orders.
  • Orders are generally received based on established product grades that meet specific standards like IEC, VD, UL, ISO.
  • Customers place orders accordingly against these approved grades.
  • Capacity additions and approvals are in progress, targeting near full utilization of HFFR capacity by year-end.
  • The company sees robust local demand despite challenges in government CAPEX orders.
  • Private sector expenditure, especially in the renewable energy sector, is driving strong order inflow.
  • The export market, which had challenges, is expected to improve with easing sea freight issues.
  • The business targets a 15% CAGR volume growth next year, reflecting strong order visibility.

Capex plans

Yes
  • The company has planned investments over the next 3 years to expand manufacturing facilities at existing and new sites, addressing operational bottlenecks and developing greenfield sites.
  • Approximately Rs. 43 crores have already been deployed in the first 9 months, with a total commitment of around Rs. 70 crores.
  • CAPEX includes adding capacities of close to 45,000 tons of HFFR and PE compounds by FY27.
  • Additional capacity expansions of PVC compounds are planned, targeting 12,000 to 15,000 tons.
  • Overall, the company targets CAPEX of around Rs. 200 to 300 crores in the next 2-2.5 years and an additional Rs. 250 to 300 crores thereafter to achieve revenue goals by FY30.
  • Land has been acquired near Vapi for expansion in the western region; expansion is also ongoing at existing eastern sites.
  • Efficiency initiatives include replacing smaller machines with higher-capacity ones and reallocating smaller machines for specialized products.

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