
Den Networks Q3 FY18 Earnings Call Analysis
Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.
Management growth scorecard
Revenue
Category 3
Margin
Category 3
Fundraise
N/A
Order
N/A
Capex
Yes
1 of 3 growth signals are positive — mixed outlook.
Full analysisRevenue guidance
Category 3- Revenue growth guidance for cable business is around 6-7%, primarily driven (98%) by existing subscriber base through increased subscription and HD box sales (Page 5).
- ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) is expected to rise notably in phase three and four markets, with phase three ARPU crossing Rs.90 and phase four reaching Rs.70-75 by mid-FY2019 (Pages 6-7).
- Broadband expansion plan targeting the existing 13 million digitized subscribers, with a cost-effective, low-capital business model to grow broadband revenue; a detailed mega broadband plan to be announced soon (Pages 2, 11, 17).
- Operating efficiency is stabilized with manpower cost reduced by 15%; no major further cuts planned but efficiency expected to sustain at current levels for 6-9 months (Page 18).
- Additional revenue streams are expected from increased HD subscription monetization and potential new income from broadband and HD services (Pages 7, 17).
See what Den Networks management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.
Fundraise plans
See what Den Networks management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.
Capex plans
Yes- Capex for the first nine months stood at about Rs.118 Crores, primarily on cable and broadband.
- Future capex focus will mainly be on broadband business with minimal investment on the cable side since most set-top box deployment is done.
- For rollout in 20 towns, broadband capex is estimated to be around Rs.20 Crores (Rs.10 Crores spent on first 10 towns, approx. Rs.10 Crores for next 10).
- Capex per home pass for broadband has been significantly reduced to Rs.300-350 using G-PON technology.
- A mega broadband business plan targeting 13 million digitized subscribers is to be announced by mid-February 2018.
- No major new capex expected beyond current broadband expansion; existing cable infrastructure largely deployed.
- Future large-scale investments or collaborations related to broadband strategy may be revealed in coming announcements.
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