Eldeco Housing & Industries Ltd
Q1 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis
Realty
fundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
π°fundraise
Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?
- Eldeco plans to raise debt in the current financial year to finance new business development and projects.
- The expected quantum of debt raising is about INR 100 crores.
- The company aims to finance business development with an optimum mix of external debt and internal equity.
- There is significant interest from real estate funds to invest in the balance part of new projects in Lucknow.
- No specific details on equity fundraising were disclosed, but internal equity is part of the financing strategy.
- The fundraising is aligned with the companyβs aggressive growth plans and new project launches scheduled for the next 1-2 years.
ποΈcapex
Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?
- Eldeco Housing & Industries Limited is planning significant capital investment in new project launches, particularly in Lucknow.
- They have received RERA registration and commenced construction for their new residential project, Latitude 27, with a formal launch planned by end of May 2023.
- Another project, Imperia Phase 2, is expected to launch in the second half of the year.
- Two additional new projects are in the pipeline, with land assembly and approvals underway, expected to be announced within the next quarter.
- The company is working on building a strong project pipeline for the coming 2-3 years.
- To finance these developments, Eldeco plans to raise external debt (around INR 100 crores) alongside internal equity.
- They have also made a land bank addition of 20.91 acres between April 2022 and March 2023.
- Real estate funds have shown interest in investing in these upcoming Lucknow projects.
πrevenue
Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?
- The Lucknow real estate market size is expected to double in the next 3-4 years, driven by strong demand and government infrastructure investments.
- Eldeco aims to achieve fresh bookings of INR 300-400 crores in FY 2024, with a further increase in FY 2025.
- The company anticipates substantially increasing its top-line and bottom-line over the coming years by launching new projects and expanding operations.
- Annual fresh bookings, which have been around INR 100-150 crores, are targeted to exceed INR 1,000 crores over the next 3-4 years, effectively doubling or tripling sales volume.
- Realization (price per square foot) is growing rapidly, with a 20% increase last year and an expected further 10% increase this year.
- Revenue recognition will largely happen as projects are completed and handed over, with significant project completions like Imperia expected in FY 2024.
πmargin
Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?
- Eldeco expects substantial increase in top-line and bottom-line over the next few years, driven by new project launches primarily in Lucknow.
- Target fresh bookings for FY24 around INR 300-400 crores, increasing to about INR 500 crores in FY25.
- Market size in Lucknow is expected to double in 3-4 years as supply constraints ease, fueling sales growth.
- Margins on new launches anticipated to start around 30-35% EBITDA, potentially increasing throughout project life cycle.
- Realization per sq.ft is forecasted to grow about 10% in the coming year following a 20% increase in the last year.
- The company foresees doubling or tripling of business scale over the next 2-3 years, with earnings following the same upward trend.
- Dividend payout ratio expected to increase gradually to about 25% of profits in the long run, reflecting improving profitability.
πorderbook
Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?
- The company has a sales pipeline with area available for sale in existing projects of about 1 million square feet.
- Similar area is planned in forthcoming projects, excluding fresh undeclared projects.
- Total sale value from these projects estimated between INR 900 to INR 1,000 crores.
- All sales value expected to be booked over the next 2-3 years.
- Fresh booking target for FY β24 is about INR 300-400 crores, with a further increase expected in subsequent years.
- The company aims to significantly increase its top-line and bottom-line by launching new projects, primarily in the Lucknow market once supply constraints are unlocked.
- New launches are expected at higher price points due to market conditions improving since previous underwriting.
- Overall backlog/orderbook reflects strong demand but constrained by supply available for sale and approvals.
