Eldeco Housing & Industries Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Realty

Full Stock Analysis
orderbook: Yesfundraise: Yescapex: Yesrevenue: Category 2margin: Category 3
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Eldeco plans an investment of about Rs. 200 crores, which includes the new high-rise luxury project "Eldeco Trinity" (3 acres in a prime Lucknow location with approvals underway). - To fund this, the company intends to raise around Rs. 100 crores in debt during the year. - Additional land acquisition is targeted, with about 50 acres of new land parcels planned for assembly in the next one to two quarters to fuel business development and launches. - The debt raised will not only fund existing projects but will also be used opportunistically for fresh land aggregation. - Prepayment options are available on the loans, allowing flexibility in financial management as projects progress. - The company aims to leverage this capital for launching multiple projects including Imperia Phase 2 & 3 and Trinity, boosting booking values more than twofold this fiscal year.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- The company expects bookings to more than double in FY24 compared to last year's 100-120 crores, indicating strong future sales growth. - Despite a muted first quarter, new launches such as Imperia Phase 2 and 3, Latitude 27, and Trinity (about 300 crores potential sales) are expected to drive growth from Q2 onwards. - Revenue appears "jumpy" quarter-on-quarter due to the timing of completion certificates and transfer deeds, with a significant revenue increase anticipated once approvals are received. - Management refrains from giving precise 5-year revenue guidance but highlights Lucknow as a growing, lucrative market with increasing demand. - Booking run rate and collections are expected to increase with a lag; bookings drive collections after 2-4 quarters. - Business development, including land acquisition (targeting 50+ acres), is set to pick up pace, supported by planned debt raising. - Overall, the company anticipates much higher top-line figures in the near term and beyond.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue and profit can appear volatile quarter-on-quarter due to revenue recognition linked to completion certificates and transfer deeds, but underlying business performance is strong. - The company expects bookings to more than double in FY24 compared to previous years, signaling robust sales growth. - EBITDA margins are anticipated to normalize around 35%-40%, with volatility primarily due to timing of project completions. - Key launches this year: Imperia Phase 2 and 3, Latitude 27, and Eldeco Trinity, enhancing future revenue potential. - Land acquisition of approx. 50 acres is planned in next 1-2 quarters to support growth. - Management is cautiously optimistic about growth but avoids making explicit 5-year revenue or profit predictions. - Increased debt is being raised strategically to finance expansion and land acquisition, underpinning growth ambitions. - Overall market demand in Lucknow is strong with supply constraints, providing a favorable growth outlook for Eldeco.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Eldeco is actively working on land assembly, targeting at least 50 acres of new land parcels in the pipeline, expected to complete assembly in the next quarter or two. - Approvals for these lands typically take 6-9 months post-assembly before projects hit the market. - Term sheets for new projects are out, with more concrete information expected in upcoming calls. - The Company plans to launch multiple projects including Imperia Phase 2 and 3, Latitude 27, and Trinity (a 3-acre parcel), indicating a growing order book. - Booking numbers are expected to more than double this year compared to last year's 100-120 crores, reflecting strong demand and expanding order pipeline. - No specific total order book value was disclosed yet, but visibility on major upcoming projects suggests a healthy and growing order backlog.
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- Eldeco Housing & Industries Limited plans an investment of about ₹200 crores primarily for new projects including "Eldeco Trinity." - To support this, the Company plans to raise approximately ₹100 crores of debt in the current fiscal year. - The debt is aimed not only for ongoing projects but also for fresh land acquisition and business development. - The Company currently holds around ₹140 crores cash on the books but is still opting for debt to maintain a balanced capital structure and support growth. - There is no mention of any imminent equity fundraising; focus is on leveraging debt for expansion. - The Company expects more details on these financing activities in upcoming calls.