Electrosteel Castings Ltd

Q2 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

Industrial Products

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 2orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- There is no explicit mention of new fundraising through debt or equity in the current discussion. - The company has paid INR 35 crore of long-term debt during the quarter, with balance debt repayments scheduled on due dates. - Long-term debt scheduled to be paid over the next 3-4 years; no additional debt raised mentioned. - Capital expenditure (CAPEX) plan to ramp up capacity will be primarily funded by internal accruals, not through new debt or equity. - Proceeds from the coal mine compensation will mostly be used for debt reduction, with some portion potentially utilized for expansion. - No indication of planned equity issuance or new debt fundraising in the near term.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- Electrosteel Castings plans to ramp up existing capacity from 7 lakh tonnes to 9 lakh tonnes per annum by FY2025. - CAPEX of approximately INR 595 crores planned, with INR 235 crores incurred till June 2023 and the balance INR 360 crores to be incurred gradually. - Majority of CAPEX is funded by internal accruals. - Capital received from the coal mine compensation will be partly used for debt reduction and partly for potential expansion. - CAPEX expected to be completed by calendar year 2024, with major benefits and volume growth expected in FY26. - The company aims to maintain industry leadership status through this capacity expansion. - Expansion driven by robust market demand and opportunity to capitalize on growing water infrastructure spending domestically and in export markets.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- FY24 growth is expected to be modest due to ongoing CAPEX with major benefits anticipated in FY25 and FY26. - Capacity expansion from 7 lakh to 9 lakh tonnes per annum targeted by FY25, a 30% increase. - Full benefit of expanded capacity expected in FY26 with major growth likely then. - Q1 saw revenue dip due to planned shutdown; second half of FY24 expected to be robust. - Volume recovery is planned to make up for shutdown loss, aiming to match last year's volume (~7,10,000 tonnes). - No substantial volume growth expected this year; focus more on margin improvement and profitability. - Demand outlook remains strong, particularly from water supply, irrigation sectors, and government schemes like Jal Se Nal and Amrut 2.0 for next 2 years.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Revenue growth for the current year is expected to be modest due to ongoing CAPEX; major growth anticipated in FY26 with a 30% capacity increase to 9 lakh tonnes. FY25 expected growth around 10%. - EBITDA margins projected to improve to around 13%-14% for the year, recovering from Q1 dip caused by planned shutdown. - Margin improvement driven by both increased realizations and cost reductions, including coking coal price decline. - EBITDA expected to benefit from lower raw material costs over next 9-12 months, though order book primarily fixed-price. - PAT margins stood at 4.4% in Q1 with expectations for steady improvement. - Long-term financial strength indicated by credit rating upgrade (CRISIL AA-). - Overall, profitable growth linked to capacity ramp-up, stable raw material costs, and government infrastructure spending, especially under Jal Jeevan Mission and other water supply projects.
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- At the start of the financial year, the order book was around 6.5 to 8 months of sales. - As of the current quarter, it has increased to approximately 8.5 to 9 months. - The order book on hand is close to around 5 lakh tonnes. - During the quarter, more orders were booked than serviced, indicating a growing order pipeline. - The net order book has increased by about 1 lakh tonnes during the quarter. - The company started the year with an order book of around 4 lakh tonnes; after converting some into sales and adding new orders, the net order book increased to about 5 lakh tonnes.