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eMudhra LtdQ1 FY24

eMudhra Ltd Q1 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: 452P/E: 36.1Market Cap: ₹3.9K CrSector: IT - Services

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 3

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Expecting overall revenue growth of 25% to 30% in the coming years.
  • Enterprise solutions order book at Rs. 149 crores, projecting a 2x multiple gives about Rs. 300 crores in revenue for solution business.
  • Services business, especially cybersecurity-related, expected to grow at around 20% or more.
  • International enterprise business anticipated to grow by 25%-30%.
  • India enterprise business expected to stabilize around Rs. 15 crores per quarter.
  • Trust Services likely to see further upside with new pricing models starting FY25.
  • Africa and Middle East are key regions with expected growing demand; US showing incremental improvement with POCs converting into orders.
  • Specific products like eSign showing good growth; SSL product repositioned for niche market expansion.
  • Digital transformation and zero trust security initiatives underpin long-term growth opportunities.

Margin guidance

Category 3
  • eMudhra expects overall revenue growth of around 25%-30% in coming years driven by enterprise solutions, services, and Trust Services.
  • The solution business order book stands at Rs. 149 crores as of FY25 start, expected to translate to around Rs. 300 crores in revenue, not including services and Trust Services.
  • Services business is projected to grow at least 20%, contributing to overall growth.
  • EBITDA margin guidance is a conservative 30% for FY25, slightly lower than Q4's 33%, considering risks.
  • Net profit margin is expected around 18%-20%, impacted by new taxation in international markets.
  • The company aims for sustainable or increasing realizations in Trust Services post new regulatory changes.
  • Digital products like eSign and cybersecurity solutions are gaining traction, supporting future earnings growth.
  • Services business is anticipated to compound annually with around 20-25% growth potential as it matures.

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Fundraise plans

  • The company currently holds about Rs. 250 crores in cash, partly from a Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP).
  • Rs. 80 crores of this cash is reserved for acquisitions, but it is yet to be spent.
  • Rs. 43 crores is earmarked for new product development in areas like homomorphic encryption, mobile PKI, and post-quantum cryptography.
  • There is no specific mention of any new fundraising plans through debt or equity in the transcript.
  • The management indicates comfortable cash flow management with ongoing cash accruals balancing expenditures.
  • No announcements or plans for new debt or equity fundraising were shared during the call.

Order book

Yes
  • Opening order book for FY25 is approximately Rs. 149 crores (solutions only, excluding services).
  • Previous year's order book was Rs. 118 crores.
  • The historical revenue multiplier on the order book has been around 2x to 2.2x.
  • Using this multiplier, FY25 enterprise solutions revenue is expected around Rs. 300 crores (149 x 2).
  • Services business order book is additional and separate; includes Ikon Tech services and new services from India and Middle East.
  • Total combined revenue (solutions + services + Trust Services) is expected to grow 25%-30% in FY25.
  • Large portion of orders are cyber security related (74%) versus paperless transformation (26%).

Capex plans

Yes
  • eMudhra has approximately Rs. 250 crores cash on the balance sheet, partly from QIP funds.
  • Around Rs. 80 crores is reserved for acquisitions and is yet to be spent, currently under evaluation.
  • Rs. 43 crores is allocated for three new products involving homomorphic encryption, mobile PKI, and post-quantum cryptography, with about Rs. 10-12 crores already spent.
  • Cash will be deployed gradually on these strategic investments, reducing cash balance over time while offset by cash accruals.
  • The company is focusing on R&D in post-quantum cryptography, fully homomorphic encryption, and mobile PKI as strategic product investments.
  • There is a revamp in their software model especially related to Trust Services in response to new CCA regulations effective July 2024.
  • Overall, capital allocation is balanced between acquisitions, new strategic product development, and ongoing operations.

How does eMudhra Ltd rank vs peers in IT - Services?

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