EthosQ3 FY24

Ethos Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Analysis

Revenue, margin, capex, fundraise and order book outlook from management commentary.

Price: ₹2,593.8P/E: 65.7Market Cap: ₹6.9K CrSector: Consumer Durables

Management growth scorecard

Revenue

Category 2

Margin

Category 2

Fundraise

N/A

Order

Yes

Capex

Yes

2 of 4 growth signals are positive.

Full analysis

Revenue guidance

Category 2
  • Ethos aims for a 25% CAGR in revenue over the next decade, targeting aggressive growth and increasing market share from 20% to 40-45% in the luxury watch segment.
  • Revenue from Certified Pre-Owned (CPO) is growing rapidly, with a 35% Y-o-Y increase over nine months and 45% in Q3 alone; expected to grow another 50-60% next year.
  • Average selling price is expected to rise but at a slower pace, influenced by inflation and exchange rates; the product mix is moving towards higher-value sales.
  • New store additions are planned: 25 in the next year, followed by 15-20 stores per year in following years, with early profitability seen even in Tier 2 cities.
  • Volume growth above INR1 lakh price point is strong, with a 19.2% growth over nine months.
  • Expansion in exclusive brands and new segments like luggage and jewellery will contribute modestly over time.

See what Ethos management said on margin guidance — free account, 30 seconds.

Fundraise plans

  • No explicit mention of any current or future fundraising through debt or equity was made during the call or in the transcript on page 20 or surrounding pages.
  • As of December 31, 2023, Ethos had gross debt of INR 6.85 crores and a cash balance of INR 350 crores.
  • The company is planning significant capital use for capex and inventory related to store additions and business expansion but did not specify raising funds via debt or equity.
  • CFO Ritesh Agrawal indicated that any capital intensity required (e.g., for Favre Leuba brand growth) would be managed internally and disclosed as necessary.
  • Overall, Ethos appears well-funded presently and confident in its cash position to support expansion without indicating any planned fundraising activities.

See what Ethos management said on order book — free account, 30 seconds.

Capex plans

Yes
  • Ethos plans significant capex for expanding store network, targeting 25 new stores in the next financial year, followed by 15-20 stores the year after, and another 15 stores subsequently.
  • Approximately INR1.2 crores capex per store is expected, with around 6 people added per new store.
  • Investment also focuses on inventory expansion alongside capex.
  • Strategic investment includes building a team in Switzerland for Favre Leuba brand growth; further capital intensity details to be disclosed later.
  • Expansion into new verticals like luggage (Rimowa) and jewellery is being learned and will grow slowly over the next few years.
  • Development and launch of the Ethos app planned for March 2024 to enhance customer experience and integrate services like after-sales and pre-owned watches.
  • Cash and bank balance stood at INR350 crores as of December 31, 2023, supporting these investments.

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How does Ethos rank vs peers in Consumer Durables?

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