Expleo Solutions Ltd

Q3 FY23 Earnings Call Analysis

IT - Services

Full Stock Analysis
fundraise: No informationcapex: Yesrevenue: Category 4margin: Category 3orderbook: Yes
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fundraise

Any current/future new fundraising through debt or equity?

- No specific mention of any current or planned fundraising through debt or equity in the call transcript. - The company focused on organic growth with no confirmed inorganic opportunities or acquisitions in the near term. - No indications were given regarding raising capital via equity or debt to fund operations or expansion. - Discussions centered more on managing costs, headcount, and business growth rather than raising funds. - The CFO transition and financial performance updates did not include any mention of fundraising plans.
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capex

Any current/future capex/capital investment/strategic investment?

- The company is making some capital investments and expanding into new premises. - They are looking at increasing physical presence to aid in talent building, retraining, and reskilling. - Hiring plans are being taken on a quarter-by-quarter basis without long-term commitments currently. - They aim to see clearer customer spending trends by the first quarter of the next fiscal to firm up future hiring and investment plans. - Investments in training and upskilling are ongoing to support growth in digital and engineering capabilities. - No specific mention of inorganic acquisitions planned within the current fiscal, but options are being considered aligning with strategy and size expectations.
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revenue

Future growth expectations in sales/revenue/volumes?

- Group business is expected to grow around 10% to 11% this year despite a subdued market, aiding predictability and future growth. - Direct business shows marginal growth of 2-3% per quarter, translating to under 10% annually, with plans to improve in 2024. - Engineering services from the Group show significant growth (20-25%), while direct engineering services are flat or declining slightly. - Digital revenue is growing but currently incurs higher costs due to training and upskilling; margins expected to improve once scale is achieved in 3-4 quarters. - Hiring slowed down due to demand; campus hiring cut from planned 500 to 270, with quarter-by-quarter hiring approach to balance growth and costs. - Pipeline softness expected to continue next quarter but anticipated to improve in the new calendar year (Jan-Mar). - Order book confirmed at ~INR 850-860 crores for the year, with balance to build in upcoming quarters. - Expect overall revenue for FY close to INR 910-920 crores vs INR 900 crores last year, indicating modest growth.
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margin

Future growth expectations in earnings/operating earnings/profits/EPS?

- Company aims to achieve EBITDA margins in the 16% to 18% range going forward, with confidence in reaching this target (Page 6). - Revenue growth for FY24 projected around INR 910-920 crores, slightly above INR 900 crores of last year, with confirmed order book for about INR 850-860 crores (Page 8). - Group business is expected to grow around 10-11% despite a subdued market, which should support predictability in revenue (Page 15). - Direct business growth is slower, with marginal 2-3% QoQ growth leading to about 10% growth for the full year (Page 15). - Hiring and revenue growth plans have been moderated due to softer demand; careful quarter-on-quarter hiring to balance costs and future growth (Page 16). - Digital business is growing and expected to enhance margins over 3-4 quarters after initial higher costs of training and bench (Page 10). - FY25 and beyond growth linked to clearer market trends expected after Q1 next fiscal (Page 6).
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orderbook

Current/ Expected Orderbook/ Pending Orders?

- Current confirmed order book is approximately INR 850-860 crores. - Total projected revenue for the financial year is around INR 910-920 crores, compared to INR 900 crores last year. - Typically, 90-92% of the revenue every quarter comes from the confirmed order book. - The remaining 7-8% revenue is accrued organically during the quarter. - At the start of the year, approx. 50-55% of revenue comes from the order book, with the rest added during the year. - Pipeline is expected to be slow in the next quarter due to market softness and customer caution. - Customers are hesitating on big investments, impacting pipeline growth. - Expectation of increased order book and revenue starting January to March, aligned with new budget cycles in the US and Europe.